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ORIGINAL RESEARCH

Predictive Value of the Total Bilirubin and CA50 Screened Based on Machine Learning for Recurrence of Bladder Cancer Patients

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Pages 537-546 | Received 30 Dec 2023, Accepted 27 May 2024, Published online: 30 May 2024
 

Abstract

Purpose

Recurrence is the main factor for poor prognosis of bladder cancer. Therefore, it is necessary to develop new biomarkers to predict the prognosis of bladder cancer. In this study, we used machine learning (ML) methods based on a variety of clinical variables to screen prognostic biomarkers of bladder cancer.

Patients and Methods

A total of 345 bladder cancer patients were participated in this retrospective study and randomly divided into training and testing group. We used five supervised clustering ML algorithms: decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), gradient boosting machine (GBM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) to obtained prediction information through 34 clinical parameters.

Results

By comparing five ML algorithms, we found that total bilirubin (TBIL) and CA50 had the best performance in predicting the recurrence of bladder cancer. In addition, the combined predictive performance of the two is superior to the performance of any single indicator prediction.

Conclusion

ML technology can evaluate the recurrence of bladder cancer. This study shows that the combination of TBIL and CA50 can improve the prognosis prediction of bladder cancer recurrence, which can help clinicians make decisions and develop personalized treatment strategies.

Ethics Statement

The study was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki and approved by the Ethics Committee of the Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University. Individual consent was waived because of the retrospective nature of our study. Patients’ data were anonymized and maintained with confidentiality.

Disclosure

All of the authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest for this work.

Additional information

Funding

This study was supported by grants from Jiangsu Provincial Research Hospital (YJXYY202204-XKB08).