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Original Research

Observational study to calculate addictive risk to opioids: a validation study of a predictive algorithm to evaluate opioid use disorder

, , , , , & show all
Pages 187-195 | Published online: 18 May 2017
 

Abstract

Background

Opioid abuse in chronic pain patients is a major public health issue, with rapidly increasing addiction rates and deaths from unintentional overdose more than quadrupling since 1999.

Purpose

This study seeks to determine the predictability of aberrant behavior to opioids using a comprehensive scoring algorithm incorporating phenotypic risk factors and neuroscience-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs).

Patients and methods

The Proove Opioid Risk (POR) algorithm determines the predictability of aberrant behavior to opioids using a comprehensive scoring algorithm incorporating phenotypic risk factors and neuroscience-associated SNPs. In a validation study with 258 subjects with diagnosed opioid use disorder (OUD) and 650 controls who reported using opioids, the POR successfully categorized patients at high and moderate risks of opioid misuse or abuse with 95.7% sensitivity. Regardless of changes in the prevalence of opioid misuse or abuse, the sensitivity of POR remained >95%.

Conclusion

The POR correctly stratifies patients into low-, moderate-, and high-risk categories to appropriately identify patients at need for additional guidance, monitoring, or treatment changes.

Supplementary material

Table S1 Sensitivities and specificities of the POR algorithm using different cutoffs of POR scores to predict OUD

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank the patients who participated in this study, without whom this study would not be possible. Proove Biosciences provided support for this study. The article has been presented at International Conference on Opioids, June 5–7, 2016, Boston, MA, USA.

Disclosure

AB, SK, BM, and CL are the employees of Proove Biosciences. JB is a former employee of Proove Biosciences. MS and SR are on the Medical Advisory Board of Proove Biosciences. The authors report no other conflicts of interest in this work.