Geographic and Temporal Variations in the Occurrence of Peptic Ulcer Disease

Abstract

The epidemiology of peptic ulcer is characterised by marked geographic and temporal variations. Gastric ulcer occurs about 5–10 times more often than duodenal ulcer in Japan. In most European countries and the USA, duodenal ulcer is about twice as frequent as gastric ulcer. The variation among different European countries does not show any clear-cut relationship to European geography. The reported differences in healing rate, relapse rate after discontinuation of treatment with histamine₂ (H₂)-blockers, and harmful effects of smoking are probably related to the varying fraction of bad healers recruited for controlled clinical trials in different countries. In male migrant workers who emigrated from Southern to Central Europe, duodenal ulcer occurs twice as frequent as in the native population. A similar phenomenon has been reported from South Africa. - Peptic ulcer used to be a rare disease before the 19th century. In the beginning of the 19th century acute perforations of gastric ulcers were first reported in young girls. With progress of the 19th century peptic ulcer became more frequent also in men. By the end of the century the incidence of duodenal ulcer had surpassed that of gastric ulcer. Studies from the USA and England reported that the number of hospital admissions, surgical operations, and deaths due to duodenal or gastric ulcer had declined during the last 20 years. A cohort analysis demonstrates that the temporal changes of peptic ulcer in all European countries, in Japan, and in the USA occur in a fashion characteristic of those due to changes in birth-cohort risks. Generations born in the last 30 years of the 19th century manifested the highest risk of developing peptic ulcer and carried it throughout their lives. The birth-cohorts with a high risk for duodenal ulcer lagged 10–30 years behind those with a high risk for gastric ulcer. The cohort phenomenon starts at an age below 5 years for both gastric and duodenal ulcer. The cohort phenomenon implies that important determinants for the development of peptic ulcer disease occur very early in the life of a cohort and that it is these early determinants that are changing with time. The migration phenomenon shows that the relevant environmental factors are still with us.

Key Words:

• Birth-cohort analysis
• death rates
• healing rates
• incidence
• migration phenomena
• mortality
• natural history
• prevalence
• relapse rate