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Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology Volume 22, 1987 - Issue sup128
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Original Article

Taking a Calculated Risk: Predictive Scoring Systems in Dyspepsia

David J Spiegelhalter MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge, and Diagnostic Methodology Research Unit, Glasgow, Southern General Hospital, Glasgow and DMRU Monklands District General Hospital, Glasgow
,
Gerard P Crean MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge, and Diagnostic Methodology Research Unit, Glasgow, Southern General Hospital, Glasgow and DMRU Monklands District General Hospital, Glasgow
,
Ray Holden MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge, and Diagnostic Methodology Research Unit, Glasgow, Southern General Hospital, Glasgow and DMRU Monklands District General Hospital, Glasgow
&
Robin P Knill-Jones Department of Community Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow
Pages 152-160 | Published online: 08 Jul 2009
 
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Abstract

The derivation of a predictive index is illustrated using 14 simple questions to assess the chance of the presence of an ulcer. The evaluation and use of such a ‘calculated-risk’ is briefly described.

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