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Research Article

Systolic and diastolic blood pressure, mean arterial pressure and pulse pressure for prediction of cardiovascular events and mortality in a Middle Eastern population

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Pages 12-18 | Received 16 Feb 2011, Accepted 07 Apr 2011, Published online: 16 Jun 2011
 

Abstract

We compared systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), mean arterial pressure (MAP) and pulse pressure (PP) as independent predictors of cardiovascular disease (CVD), total and CVD mortality among an Iranian population. The study conducted among 5991 subjects aged ≥ 30 years without baseline CVD and antihypertensive medication. The mean of two measurements of SBP and DBP, in sitting position, was considered the subject's blood pressure. During a median follow-up of 8.7 years, 346 CVD and 157 deaths, 63 attributed to CVD, occurred. Hazard ratios (HRs) of each outcome were calculated for a one standard deviation (SD) increase in each blood pressure (BP) measures. In multivariate models, all BP measures were associated with increased risk of CVD regardless of age. In those aged < 60 years, SBP, DBP, PP and MAP were associated with total mortality (p < 0.05), but in subjects aged ≥ 60 years, only SBP and PP increased risk of total mortality significantly. In multivariate analyses, a 1SD increase in SBP, PP and MAP were associated with 35%, 31% and 28% increased risk of CVD mortality (p < 0.05). In terms of fitness and discrimination of models, DBP, PP and MAP were not superior to SBP. In conclusion, our findings provided further evidence from a Middle Eastern population, in support of SBP predictability for CVD events and CVD and all-cause mortality compared with other BP measures.

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by Grant No. 121 from the National Research Council of the Islamic Republic of Iran. We express appreciation to the participants of district 13, Tehran, for their enthusiastic support in this study. We would like to thank Ms N. Shiva for the English editing of manuscript.

Conflicts of interest: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

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