Abstract
Objectives:
To determine the cost effectiveness of sevelamer vs calcium carbonate in patients with chronic kidney disease and not on dialysis (CKD-ND) from the perspective of the National Health Service (NHS) in the UK.
Methods:
A Markov decision analytic model was developed to estimate (1) total life years (LYs), quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and costs for patients treated with sevelamer or calcium carbonate; and (2) incremental costs per LY gained (LYG) and per QALY gained for sevelamer vs calcium carbonate. Data informing probability transitions to all-cause death and dialysis inception in CKD-ND patients were taken directly from the INDEPENDENT-CKD study and were extrapolated beyond the 3-year clinical trial using Weibull regression analysis. Estimates of health utility and costs (in £2011) were derived from the published literature.
Results:
Over a lifetime horizon, sevelamer treatment resulted in a gain of 2.05 LYs and 1.56 QALYs per patient, an increase of £37,282 in total costs per patient vs calcium carbonate (3.5% discount), and a per-patient cost of £18,193/LYG and £23,878/QALY gained. Results were robust to alternative assumptions in key parameters; results were most sensitive to alternative assumptions regarding the mean daily dose of sevelamer, impact of sevelamer on dialysis initiation, cost of dialysis, and health utility estimates. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that sevelamer was cost-effective vs calcium carbonate in 93% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of £30,000/QALY gained.
Limitations:
While the model simulated a real-world clinical setting, this analysis was subject to limitations common to all decision analytic models, in that it used a mix of data sources and relied on several assumptions. Not all variables that impact real-world outcomes and costs were included in this model.
Conclusions:
Sevelamer is a cost-effective option compared to calcium carbonate for the first-line treatment of hyperphosphatemia in CKD-ND patients in the UK.
Transparency
Declaration of funding
Funding for this research was provided by Genzyme (a Sanofi Company).
Declaration of financial/other relationships
Melissa Thompson, Susan Bartko-Winters, and Lisa Bernard have disclosed that they are employees of and shareholders in Cornerstone Research Group Inc., which received funds from Genzyme for the conduct of this study. Andy Fenton is an employee of Genzyme. Colin Hutchison has received honorarias for scientific consulting from Genzyme Corporation. Biagio Di Iorio has no relevant financial relationships to disclose. JME Peer Reviewers on this manuscript have no relevant financial relationships to disclose.
Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to Dr David Wheeler for his review of the manuscript and for providing insightful comments. The results of this study were previously presented at the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research 15th Annual European Congress in Berlin, Germany, November 2012.