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Population Studies
A Journal of Demography
Volume 61, 2007 - Issue 3
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Original Articles

The choice among past trends as a basis for the prediction of future trends in old-age mortality

Fanny Janssen University of Groningen, ; Erasmus University,
&
Anton Kunst Erasmus University,
Pages 315-326 | Received 01 Aug 2006, Published online: 02 Nov 2007

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Pieter van Baal, Frederik Peters, Johan Mackenbach & Wilma Nusselder. (2016) Forecasting differences in life expectancy by education. Population Studies 70:2, pages 201-216.
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Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Paola Vázquez-Castillo & Trifon I. Missov. A modal age at death approach to forecasting adult mortality. Population Studies 0:0, pages 1-17.
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Articles from other publishers (31)

Snorre Jallbjørn, Søren F. Jarner & Niels R. Hansen. (2023) Forecasting, interventions and selection: the benefits of a causal mortality model. European Actuarial Journal.
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Viani Biatat Djeundje. (2022) On the integration of deterministic opinions into mortality smoothing and forecasting. Annals of Actuarial Science 16:2, pages 384-400.
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Simon Schnürch & Ralf Korn. (2021) POINT AND INTERVAL FORECASTS OF DEATH RATES USING NEURAL NETWORKS. ASTIN Bulletin 52:1, pages 333-360.
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Fanny Janssen, Sergi Trias-Llimós & Anton E Kunst. (2021) The combined impact of smoking, obesity and alcohol on life-expectancy trends in Europe. International Journal of Epidemiology 50:3, pages 931-941.
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Fanny Janssen, Anastasios Bardoutsos, Shady El Gewily & Joop De Beer. (2021) Future life expectancy in Europe taking into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol. eLife 10.
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Vered Shapovalov, Zinoviy Landsman & Udi Makov. (2021) Exchangeable mortality projection. European Actuarial Journal 11:1, pages 113-133.
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Sergi Trias-Llimós, Anastasios Bardoutsos & Fanny Janssen. (2021) Future Alcohol-Attributable Mortality in France Using a Novel Generalizable Age-Period-Cohort Projection Methodology. Alcohol and Alcoholism 56:3, pages 325-333.
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James W. Vaupel, Francisco Villavicencio & Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher. (2021) Demographic perspectives on the rise of longevity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118:9.
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Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Søren Kjæ rgaard, Marius D. Pascariu, José Manuel Aburto, Jesús-Adrián Alvarez, Ugofilippo Basellini, Silvia Rizzi & James W. Vaupel. 2020. Developments in Demographic Forecasting. Developments in Demographic Forecasting 131 151 .
Yusuke Takahashi, Hiroaki Kuroda, Yuko Oya, Noriyuki Matsutani, Hirokazu Matsushita & Masafumi Kawamura. (2019) Challenges for real‐time intraoperative diagnosis of high risk histology in lung adenocarcinoma: A necessity for sublobar resection. Thoracic Cancer 10:8, pages 1663-1668.
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Fanny Janssen. (2018) Advances in mortality forecasting: introduction. Genus 74:1.
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Seokbeom Hong, Young Kyu Moon & Jae Kil Park. (2018) Comparison of Surgical Outcomes and Survival between Octogenarians and Younger Patients after Pulmonary Resection for Stage I Lung Cancer. The Korean Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 51:5, pages 312-321.
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Christina Bohk-Ewald & Roland Rau. (2017) Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements. Genus 73:1.
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F. Peters, J. P. Mackenbach & W. J. Nusselder. (2016) Does the Impact of the Tobacco Epidemic Explain Structural Changes in the Decline of Mortality?. European Journal of Population 32:5, pages 687-702.
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Sergei Scherbov & Dalkhat Ediev. (2016) Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing?. Demographic Research 34, pages 39-62.
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Andrea Dell’Amore, Marco Monteverde, Nicola Martucci, Stefano Sanna, Guido Caroli, Giampiero Dolci, Davide Dell’Amore & Gaetano Rocco. (2014) Lobar and sub-lobar lung resection in octogenarians with early stage non-small cell lung cancer: factors affecting surgical outcomes and long-term results. General Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 63:4, pages 222-230.
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F. Janssen. (2014) Voorspelling van de levensverwachting kan beter. Tijdschrift voor Gerontologie en Geriatrie 45:4, pages 183-187.
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John Bongaarts. (2014) Trends in Causes of Death in Low‐Mortality Countries: Implications for Mortality Projections. Population and Development Review 40:2, pages 189-212.
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Anton E Kunst & Rieneke Britstra. (2013) Implementation evaluation of the Dutch national heat plan among long-term care institutions in Amsterdam: a cross-sectional study. BMC Health Services Research 13:1.
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Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, L.J.G van Wissen & Fanny Janssen. (2013) Impact of different mortality forecasting methods and explicit assumptions on projected future life expectancy: The case of the Netherlands. Demographic Research 29, pages 323-354.
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Fanny Janssen, Leo J. G. van Wissen & Anton E. Kunst. (2013) Including the Smoking Epidemic in Internationally Coherent Mortality Projections. Demography 50:4, pages 1341-1362.
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A. Dell'Amore, M. Monteverde, N. Martucci, S. Sanna, G. Caroli, F. Stella, D. Dell'Amore & G. Rocco. (2012) Early and long-term results of pulmonary resection for non-small-cell lung cancer in patients over 75 years of age: a multi-institutional study. Interactive CardioVascular and Thoracic Surgery 16:3, pages 250-256.
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Joop de Beer. (2012) Smoothing and projecting age-specific probabilities of death by TOPALS. Demographic Research 27, pages 543-592.
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Maarten J. Bijlsma, Eelko Hak, Jens H.J. Bos, Lolkje T.W. de Jong-van den Berg & Fanny Janssen. (2012) Inclusion of the birth cohort dimension improved description and explanation of trends in statin use. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology 65:10, pages 1052-1060.
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Magdalena M. Muszyńska & Roland Rau. (2012) The Old-Age Healthy Dependency Ratio in Europe. Journal of Population Ageing 5:3, pages 151-162.
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Olivia Fanucchi, Marcello Carlo Ambrogi, Paolo Dini, Marco Lucchi, Franca Melfi, Federico Davini & Alfredo Mussi. (2011) Surgical treatment of non-small cell lung cancer in octogenarians. Interactive CardioVascular and Thoracic Surgery 12:5, pages 749-753.
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Masoud Amiri, Fanny Janssen & Anton E. Kunst. (2010) The decline in stomach cancer mortality: exploration of future trends in seven European countries. European Journal of Epidemiology 26:1, pages 23-28.
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Eckart Bomsdorf, Bernhard Babel & Jens Kahlenberg. 2010. Ageing, Care Need and Quality of Life. Ageing, Care Need and Quality of Life 29 41 .
B. Klijs, W. J. Nusselder & J. P. Mackenbach. (2009) Compressie van morbiditeit: een veelbelovende benadering om de maatschappelijke consequenties van vergrijzing te verlichten?. Tijdschrift voor Gerontologie en Geriatrie 40:6, pages 228-236.
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Steven Haberman & Arthur Renshaw. (2009) On age-period-cohort parametric mortality rate projections. Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 45:2, pages 255-270.
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Bart Klijs, Wilma Nusselder & Johan Mackenbach. (2009) Compression of Morbidity: A Promising Approach to Alleviate the Societal Consequences of Population Aging. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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