47
Views
52
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Application

Tests for Predictive Relationships between Time Series Variables: A Monte Carlo Investigation

&
Pages 11-18 | Received 01 Apr 1979, Published online: 12 Mar 2012

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Read on this site (10)

Deng-Kui Si & Xiao-Lin Li. (2018) Mean reversion of inflation rates in seven Eastern European countries: An application of a fourier quantile unit root test. The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development 27:2, pages 145-167.
Read now
Abeysinghe Tilak & Choy Keen Meng. (2002) On the Use of Innovation Correlations to Study Cyclical Co-Movements in GDP and Its Components. International Economic Journal 16:2, pages 37-45.
Read now
Y. K. WONG, R. R. LEITCH, G. J. WYATT & H. WONG. (1998) Causal reasoning in systems modelling. International Journal of Systems Science 29:11, pages 1325-1337.
Read now
Ken Hung. (1990) Simulation Study on Variance of Forecast Error for Vector Arima Models. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 19:1, pages 125-144.
Read now
Anjum Siddiqui. (1989) The Causal Relation Between Money and Inflation in a Developing Economy. International Economic Journal 3:2, pages 79-96.
Read now
Dilp M. Nachane, Ramesh M. Nadkarni & Ajith V. Karnik. (1988) Co-Integration and Causality Testing of the Energy–GDP Relationship: A Cross-Country Study. Applied Economics 20:11, pages 1511-1531.
Read now
Jonathan D. Jones & Noel Uri. (1987) Money, Inflation and Casuality (Another Look at the Empirical Evidence for the USA, 1953–84). Applied Economics 19:5, pages 619-634.
Read now
LawrenceR. Carter & RonaldD. Lee. (1986) Joint Forecasts of U.S. Marital Fertility, Nuptiality, Births, and Marriages Using Time Series Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association 81:396, pages 902-911.
Read now
Russell Shannon & Myles S. Wallace. (1985) Wages and Inflation: An Investigation into Causality. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 8:2, pages 182-191.
Read now
B. Wade Brorsen, Jean-Paul Chavas & WarrenR. Grant. (1985) A Dynamic Analysis of Prices in the U.S. Rice Marketing Channel. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics 3:4, pages 362-369.
Read now

Articles from other publishers (42)

C. W. J. Granger. 2018. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 1440 1443 .
Koen H. Pauwels. 2017. Advanced Methods for Modeling Markets. Advanced Methods for Modeling Markets 115 148 .
Mariusz Maziarz. (2015) O wartości informacyjnej testów przyczynowości w sensie Grangera. Optimum. Studia Ekonomiczne:2(74), pages 152-170.
Crossref
Arindam RoyChoudhury, Thuy-Tien L. Dam, Ravi Varadhan, Qian-Li Xue & Linda P. Fried. (2014) Analyzing feed-forward loop relationship in aging phenotypes: Physical activity and physical performance. Mechanisms of Ageing and Development 141-142, pages 5-11.
Crossref
John B. Guerard,John B. GuerardJr.Jr.. 2013. Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis. Introduction to Financial Forecasting in Investment Analysis 97 143 .
Muhammad. I. Gurrib & Syed. Z. Ahmad. (2010) Saudi Arabia’s Inflation Agenda: A Vector Autoregressive Framework. International Journal of Trade, Economics and Finance 1:1, pages 63-67.
Crossref
Juan R. Ramirez & William D. Crano. (2006) Deterrence and Incapacitation: An Interrupted Time‐Series Analysis of California's Three‐Strikes Law 1 . Journal of Applied Social Psychology 33:1, pages 110-144.
Crossref
TILAK ABEYSINGHE & KEEN MENG CHOY. (2002) ON THE USE OF INNOVATION CORRELATIONS TO STUDY CYCLICAL CO-MOVEMENTS IN GDP AND ITS COMPONENTS. International Economic Journal 16:2, pages 37-45.
Crossref
Louis Anthony CoxJr.Jr.. (2006) Does Diesel Exhaust Cause Human Lung Cancer?. Risk Analysis 17:6, pages 807-829.
Crossref
Diana Irene Chavasse & Rafael Santiago Seoane. (1997) Asociación determinístico-estocástica para predicción de caudales. Ingeniería del agua 4:2.
Crossref
Jean-Marie Dufour & David Tessier. (2009) La causalité entre la monnaie et le revenu : une analyse fondée sur un modèle VARMA-échelon. L'Actualité économique 73:1-2-3, pages 351-366.
Crossref
Roy A. Fletcher & Chung Chen. (1993) Stock returns, real activity, and money: Causality testing using a multiple hypothesis testing approach. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting 3:4, pages 429-445.
Crossref
Claudio Lupi & Patrizia Ordine. (2007) Testing for Independence of Wage Drift and Minimum Contractual Wage: An Empirical Investigation Using Italian Aggregate Time Series. LABOUR 7:3, pages 161-173.
Crossref
Walter C. Labys & Alfred Maizels. (1993) Commodity price fluctuations and macroeconomic adjustments in the developed economies. Journal of Policy Modeling 15:3, pages 335-352.
Crossref
RAYMOND M. LEUTHOLD, PHILIP GARCIA & NABIL CHAHERLI. (2008) Information, Pricing and Efficiency in Cash and Futures Markets: The Case of Hogs. Economic Record 68:S1, pages 27-33.
Crossref
HECTOR CORREA & JI-WON KIM. (2016) A Causal Analysis of the Defense Expenditures of the USA and the USSR. Journal of Peace Research 29:2, pages 161-174.
Crossref
Alok K. Bohara & Christine Sauer. (1990) A VARMA analysis of German money and income data: Fixed versus flexible exchange rates. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv 126:3, pages 456-473.
Crossref
Stephen R. Koontz, Philip Garcia & Michael A. Hudson. (2006) Dominant‐satellite relationships between live cattle cash and futures markets. Journal of Futures Markets 10:2, pages 123-136.
Crossref
C. W. J. Granger. 1990. Econometrics. Econometrics 45 49 .
M. Funke. (1989) Asset prices and real investment in West Germany: Evidence from vector autoregressive models. Empirical Economics 14:4, pages 307-328.
Crossref
Phillip A. Cartwright, David R. Kamerschen & Mei-Ying Huang. (1989) Price correlation and granger causality tests for market definition. Review of Industrial Organization 4:2, pages 79-98.
Crossref
S. A. Taylor. (1989) A comparison of classical tests of criterion when determining Granger causality with a bivariate ARMA model. Empirical Economics 14:3, pages 257-271.
Crossref
John T. Batts & Robert F. McNown. (2008) THE PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE OF THREE AUTOREGRESSIVE MOVING‐AVERAGE MODELS:A MONTE CARLO INVESTIGATION. Journal of Time Series Analysis 10:4, pages 301-314.
Crossref
ANJUM SIDDIQUI. (1989) THE CAUSAL RELATION BETWEEN MONEY AND INFLATION IN A DEVELOPING ECONOMY. International Economic Journal 3:2, pages 79-96.
Crossref
ERNST A. BOEHM & VANCE L. MARTIN. (2007) An Investigation into the Major Causes 01 Australia's Recent Inflation and Some Policy Implications*. Economic Record 65:1, pages 1-15.
Crossref
Lindsay Meredith, Dennis Maki & Robert Wyckham. (2009) The Media Mix Aggregation Problem: A Transfer Function Approach. Canadian Journal of Administrative Sciences / Revue Canadienne des Sciences de l'Administration 4:4, pages 447-468.
Crossref
SASSON BAR‐YOSEF, JEFFREY L. CALLEN & JOSHUA LIVNAT. (2012) Autoregressive Modeling of Earnings‐Investment Causality. The Journal of Finance 42:1, pages 11-28.
Crossref
C. W. J. Granger. 2016. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics. The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics 1 4 .
Michael L. Marlow & Neela Manage. (1987) Expenditures and receipts: Testing for causality in state and local government finances. Public Choice 53:3, pages 243-255.
Crossref
Carlos E. Santiago. (1986) Closing the gap. Journal of Development Economics 23:2, pages 293-311.
Crossref
ALLAN P. LAYTON. (2008) A CAUSALITY ANALYSIS OF AUSTRALIA'S GROWTH CYCLE AND THE COMPOSITE INDEX OF LEADING INDICATORS. Australian Economic Papers 25:46, pages 57-66.
Crossref
C.E.V. Borio. (2006) INCOME‐FINANCIAL AGGREGATES INTERACTIONS AND POLICY DESIGN: THE CASE OF ITALY(*). Metroeconomica 38:1, pages 85-111.
Crossref
. 1986. Forecasting Economic Time Series. Forecasting Economic Time Series 317 330 .
James E. Alt. (1985) Political Parties, World Demand, and Unemployment: Domestic and International Sources of Economic Activity. American Political Science Review 79:4, pages 1016-1040.
Crossref
Charles M. Oellermann & Paul L. Farris. (2006) Futures or Cash: Which Market Leads Live Beef Cattle Prices?. Journal of Futures Markets 5:4, pages 529-538.
Crossref
Milton S. Boyd & B. Wade Brorsen. (2008) Dynamic Relationship of Weekly Prices In the United States Beef and Pork Marketing Channels. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie 33:3, pages 331-342.
Crossref
Jose D. Salas, Guillermo Q. TabiosIIIIII & Paolo Bartolini. (2007) APPROACHES TO MULTIVARIATE MODELING OF WATER RESOURCES TIME SERIES 1 . JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association 21:4, pages 683-708.
Crossref
E. Henry Lee & Gail L. Cramer. (1985) Causal relationships among world wheat prices. Agribusiness 1:1, pages 89-97.
Crossref
Harvey Starr, Francis W. Hoole, Jeffrey A. Hart & John R. Freeman. (2016) The Relationship between Defense Spending and Inflation. Journal of Conflict Resolution 28:1, pages 103-122.
Crossref
John Geweke. 1984. 1101 1144 .
Helmut Norpoth. (1984) Economics, politics, and the cycle of presidential popularity. Political Behavior 6:3, pages 253-273.
Crossref
Ikhlaas Gurrib. (2009) Saudi Arabia, Inflation and its Monetary Policy Agenda. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Crossref

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.