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Journal of the American Statistical Association Volume 81, 1986 - Issue 396
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Joint Forecasts of U.S. Marital Fertility, Nuptiality, Births, and Marriages Using Time Series Models

Lawrence R. Carter Department of Sociology, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, 97403, USA
&
Ronald D. Lee Graduate Group in Demography and Department of Economics, University of California, Berkeley, CA, 94720, USA
Pages 902-911 | Received 01 Sep 1984, Published online: 12 Mar 2012

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Joelle H. Fong, Michael Sherris & James Yap. (2017) Forecasting disability: application of a frailty model. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal 2017:2, pages 125-147.
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WarrenC. Sanderson. (1995) Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions. Mathematical Population Studies 5:3, pages 259-279.
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Robert McNown, Andrei Rogers & Jani Little. (1995) Simplicity and complexity in extrapolatwe population forecasting models. Mathematical Population Studies 5:3, pages 235-257.
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RonaldD. Lee, Lawrence Carter & Shripad Tuljapurkar. (1995) Disaggregatton in population forecasting: Do we need it? And how to do it simply. Mathematical Population Studies 5:3, pages 217-234.
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RonaldD. Lee & Shripad Tuljapurkar. (1994) Stochastic Population Forecasts for the United States: Beyond High, Medium, and Low. Journal of the American Statistical Association 89:428, pages 1175-1189.
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PatrickA. Thompson, WilliamR. Bell, JohnF. Long & RobertB. Miller. (1989) Multivariate Time Series Projections of Parameterized Age-Specific Fertility Rates. Journal of the American Statistical Association 84:407, pages 689-699.
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Samuel J. Clark. (2019) A General Age-Specific Mortality Model With an Example Indexed by Child Mortality or Both Child and Adult Mortality. Demography 56:3, pages 1131-1159.
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Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman & David A. SwansonStanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman & David A. Swanson. 2013. A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections. A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections 185 213 .
Han Lin Shang. (2012) Point and interval forecasts of age-specific fertility rates: a comparison of functional principal component methods. Journal of Population Research 29:3, pages 249-267.
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Lawrence R. Carter. 2010. Aging in Advanced Industrial States. Aging in Advanced Industrial States 47 75 .
José Antonio Ortega & Pilar Poncela. (2005) Joint forecasts of Southern European fertility rates with non-stationary dynamic factor models. International Journal of Forecasting 21:3, pages 539-550.
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Robert McNown & Andrei Rogers. (1989) Forecasting Mortality: A Parameterized Time Series Approach. Demography 26:4, pages 645-660.
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Jacques Taillon. (1988) Dessaisonalisation d'un tableau avec contraintes linéaires: Application aux flux financiers canadiens. Canadian Journal of Statistics 16:S1, pages 97-107.
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Kenneth C. Land & Stephen H. Schneider. (1987) Forecasting in the social and natural sciences: An overview and analysis of isomorphisms. Climatic Change 11:1-2, pages 7-31.
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