1,330
Views
63
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Modelling small and medium enterprise loan defaults as rare events: the generalized extreme value regression model

&
Pages 1172-1188 | Received 19 Dec 2011, Accepted 09 Mar 2013, Published online: 03 Apr 2013

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Read on this site (10)

Essoham Ali. (2024) A simulation-based study of ZIP regression with various zero-inflated submodels. Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation 53:2, pages 642-657.
Read now
Aba Diop, El Hadji Deme & Aliou Diop. (2023) Zero-inflated generalized extreme value regression model for binary response data and application in health study. Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation 93:1, pages 1-24.
Read now
M.B. Seitshiro & H.P. Mashele. (2022) Quantification of model risk that is caused by model misspecification. Journal of Applied Statistics 49:5, pages 1065-1085.
Read now
Francesco Giordano, Marcella Niglio & Marialuisa Restaino. (2021) A new procedure for variable selection in presence of rare events. Journal of the Operational Research Society 72:7, pages 1619-1636.
Read now
Han Lin Shang & Ruofan Xu. (2021) Functional time series forecasting of extreme values. Communications in Statistics: Case Studies, Data Analysis and Applications 7:2, pages 182-199.
Read now
Anthony Medford & James W. Vaupel. (2019) An introduction to gevistic regression mortality models. Scandinavian Actuarial Journal 2019:7, pages 604-620.
Read now
Raffaella Calabrese, Giampiero Marra & Silvia Angela Osmetti. (2016) Bankruptcy prediction of small and medium enterprises using a flexible binary generalized extreme value model. Journal of the Operational Research Society 67:4, pages 604-615.
Read now
Raffaella Calabrese & Paolo Giudici. (2015) Estimating bank default with generalised extreme value regression models. Journal of the Operational Research Society 66:11, pages 1783-1792.
Read now
Raffaella Calabrese. (2014) Optimal cut-off for rare events and unbalanced misclassification costs. Journal of Applied Statistics 41:8, pages 1678-1693.
Read now

Articles from other publishers (53)

Michael T. Gorczyca & Chaeryon Kang. (2024) On quantifying heterogeneous treatment effects with regression‐based individualized treatment rules: Loss function families and bounds on estimation error. Stat 13:2.
Crossref
Jaehyun Lim, Junbo Jung, Jinsung Rho & Joong Bae Kim. (2024) Cooling Performance Prediction of Particle-Based Radiative Cooling Film Considering Particle Size Distribution. Micromachines 15:3, pages 292.
Crossref
Silvia Facchinetti, Silvia Angela Osmetti & Claudia Tarantola. (2023) A statistical approach for assessing cyber risk via ordered response models. Risk Analysis 44:2, pages 425-438.
Crossref
Michele La Rocca, Marcella Niglio & Marialuisa Restaino. (2023) Bootstrapping binary GEV regressions for imbalanced datasets. Computational Statistics 39:1, pages 181-213.
Crossref
Prilyandari Dina Saputri, Dedy Dwi Prastyo, Pratnya Paramitha Oktaviana, Ulil Azmi & Galuh Oktavia Siswono. (2023) Rare Event Classification Based on Binary Generalized Extreme Value-Additive Models. Rare Event Classification Based on Binary Generalized Extreme Value-Additive Models.
Gang Yao, Xiaojian Hu, Liangcheng Xu & Zhening Wu. (2022) Using social media information to predict the credit risk of listed enterprises in the supply chain. Kybernetes 52:11, pages 4993-5016.
Crossref
Hyun-Soo Woo, John P. Berns & Pol Solanelles. (2022) How Rare Is Rare? How Common Is Common? Empirical Issues Associated With Binary Dependent Variables With Rare Or Common Event Rates. Organizational Research Methods 26:4, pages 655-677.
Crossref
Carmen Gallucci, Rosalia Santullli, Michele Modina & Vincenzo Formisano. (2022) Financial ratios, corporate governance and bank-firm information: a Bayesian approach to predict SMEs’ default. Journal of Management and Governance 27:3, pages 873-892.
Crossref
Shuaida He, Zhouping Li & Xinwei Liu. (2023) An improved GEV boosting method for imbalanced data classification with application to short-term rainfall prediction. Journal of Hydrology 617, pages 128882.
Crossref
Ping Xiao, Mad Ithnin Salleh, B.B. Zaidan & Yang Xuelan. (2023) Research on risk assessment of blockchain-driven supply chain finance: A systematic review. Computers & Industrial Engineering 176, pages 108990.
Crossref
Zhaozhao Ma. (2022) Analysis of loan defaults based on data mining. Analysis of loan defaults based on data mining.
Xavier Brédart & Diego Andrés Correa-Mejía. (2022) Bankruptcy prediction modeling in real-world conditions: A contrast of boosting algorithm and logistic regression. Recherches en Sciences de Gestion N° 152:5, pages 127-153.
Crossref
Lauren Hoover, Tanmoy Bhowmik, Shamsunnahar Yasmin & Naveen Eluru. (2022) Understanding Crash Risk Using a Multi-Level Random Parameter Binary Logit Model: Application to Naturalistic Driving Study Data. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 2676:10, pages 737-745.
Crossref
Jonah Mushava & Michael Murray. (2022) A novel XGBoost extension for credit scoring class-imbalanced data combining a generalized extreme value link and a modified focal loss function. Expert Systems with Applications 202, pages 117233.
Crossref
. 2022. Data Analysis and Related Applications 1. Data Analysis and Related Applications 1 173 185 .
Matthew Stevenson, Christophe Mues & Cristián Bravo. (2021) The value of text for small business default prediction: A Deep Learning approach. European Journal of Operational Research 295:2, pages 758-771.
Crossref
Amine Belhadi, Sachin S. Kamble, Venkatesh Mani, Imane Benkhati & Fatima Ezahra Touriki. (2021) An ensemble machine learning approach for forecasting credit risk of agricultural SMEs’ investments in agriculture 4.0 through supply chain finance. Annals of Operations Research.
Crossref
Kristina Sutiene, Kestutis Luksys & Kristina Kundeliene. (2021) Towards Automation of Short-Term Financial Distress Detection: A Real-World Case Study. International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making 20:04, pages 1299-1333.
Crossref
Lili Xu, Feng Liu & Xuejian Chu. (2021) The credit analysis of transportation capacity supply chain finance based on core enterprise credit radiation. Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems 40:6, pages 10811-10824.
Crossref
N. Diawara, B. E. Porter & J. Kannane. (2021) Evaluation and Prediction under Hierarchical and Bivariate Copula Models for Seat Belt Use Data. Journal of Statistical Theory and Practice 15:2.
Crossref
Jessica Pesantez-Narvaez, Montserrat Guillen & Manuela Alcañiz. (2021) RiskLogitboost Regression for Rare Events in Binary Response: An Econometric Approach. Mathematics 9:5, pages 579.
Crossref
Keijo Kohv & Oliver Lukason. (2021) What Best Predicts Corporate Bank Loan Defaults? An Analysis of Three Different Variable Domains. Risks 9:2, pages 29.
Crossref
Andersen Chang, Minjie Wang & Genevera I. Allen. (2021) Sparse regression for extreme values. Electronic Journal of Statistics 15:2.
Crossref
Francesco Giordano, Marcella Niglio & Marialuisa Restaino. 2021. Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance 257 263 .
Raffaella Calabrese & Jonathan Crook. (2020) Spatial contagion in mortgage defaults: A spatial dynamic survival model with time and space varying coefficients. European Journal of Operational Research 287:2, pages 749-761.
Crossref
Jong-Min Kim, Chanho Cho, Chulhee Jun & Won Yong Kim. (2020) The Changing Dynamics of Board Independence: A Copula Based Quantile Regression Approach. Journal of Risk and Financial Management 13:11, pages 254.
Crossref
Athanasios Triantafyllou, George Dotsis & Alexandros Sarris. (2020) Assessing the Vulnerability to Price Spikes in Agricultural Commodity Markets. Journal of Agricultural Economics 71:3, pages 631-651.
Crossref
Xinyuan Wei, Bo Yu & Yao Liu. (2020) Accessing Information Asymmetry in Peer-to-Peer Lending by Default Prediction from Investors’ Perspective. Symmetry 12:6, pages 935.
Crossref
Maria Kovacova, Tomas Kliestik, Katarina Valaskova, Pavol Durana & Zuzana Juhaszova. (2019) Systematic review of variables applied in bankruptcy prediction models of Visegrad group countries. Oeconomia Copernicana 10:4, pages 743-772.
Crossref
Raffaella Calabrese & Silvia Angela Osmetti. (2019) A new approach to measure systemic risk: A bivariate copula model for dependent censored data. European Journal of Operational Research 279:3, pages 1053-1064.
Crossref
Jonathan Crook, Tony Bellotti, Christophe Mues & Ana-Maria Fuertes. (2019) Preface to the Papers on ‘Credit Risk Modelling’. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 182:4, pages 1139-1142.
Crossref
Raffaella Calabrese, Silvia Angela Osmetti & Luca Zanin. (2019) A Joint Scoring Model for Peer-to-Peer and Traditional Lending: A Bivariate Model with Copula Dependence. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 182:4, pages 1163-1188.
Crossref
Emmanuel O. Ogundimu. (2019) Prediction of Default Probability by using Statistical Models for rare Events. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society 182:4, pages 1143-1162.
Crossref
Gintare Giriūniene, Lukas Giriūnas, Mangirdas Morkunas & Laura Brucaite. (2019) A Comparison on Leading Methodologies for Bankruptcy Prediction: The Case of the Construction Sector in Lithuania. Economies 7:3, pages 82.
Crossref
You Zhu, Li Zhou, Chi Xie, Gang-Jin Wang & Truong V. Nguyen. (2019) Forecasting SMEs' credit risk in supply chain finance with an enhanced hybrid ensemble machine learning approach. International Journal of Production Economics 211, pages 22-33.
Crossref
Diego Andrés Correa Mejía & Mauricio Lopera-Castaño. (2019) Pronóstico de insolvencia empresarial en Colombia a través de indicadores financieros. Panorama Económico 27:2, pages 510-526.
Crossref
Raffaella Calabrese, Galina Andreeva & Jake Ansell. (2017) “Birds of a Feather” Fail Together: Exploring the Nature of Dependency in SME Defaults. Risk Analysis 39:1, pages 71-84.
Crossref
Timothy Brathwaite & Joan L. Walker. (2018) Asymmetric, closed-form, finite-parameter models of multinomial choice. Journal of Choice Modelling 29, pages 78-112.
Crossref
Katarina Valaskova, Tomas Kliestik, Lucia Svabova & Peter Adamko. (2018) Financial Risk Measurement and Prediction Modelling for Sustainable Development of Business Entities Using Regression Analysis. Sustainability 10:7, pages 2144.
Crossref
Shamsunnahar Yasmin, Naveen Eluru, Ling Wang & Mohamed A. Abdel-Aty. (2018) A joint framework for static and real-time crash risk analysis. Analytic Methods in Accident Research 18, pages 45-56.
Crossref
Jorge Iván Pérez García, Mauricio Lopera Castaño & Fredy Alonso Vásquez Bedoya. (2018) Estimación de la probabilidad de riesgo de quiebra en las empresas colombianas a partir de un modelo para eventos raros.. Cuadernos de Administración 30:54, pages 7.
Crossref
Nikolaos I. Papanikolaou. (2018) To be bailed out or to be left to fail? A dynamic competing risks hazard analysis. Journal of Financial Stability 34, pages 61-85.
Crossref
Luca Zanin. (2016) The pyramid of Okun’s coefficient for Italy. Empirica 45:1, pages 17-28.
Crossref
Francesco Giordano, Marcella Niglio & Marialuisa Restaino. 2018. Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance. Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance 381 385 .
Raffaella Calabrese, Marta Degl’Innocenti & Silvia Angela Osmetti. (2017) The effectiveness of TARP-CPP on the US banking industry: A new copula-based approach. European Journal of Operational Research 256:3, pages 1029-1037.
Crossref
Raffaella Calabrese & Johan A. Elkink. 2016. Spatial Econometrics: Qualitative and Limited Dependent Variables. Spatial Econometrics: Qualitative and Limited Dependent Variables 145 166 .
Latif Cem Osken, Ceylan Onay & Gözde Unal. (2016) Estimating defaults in organized security lending markets. Journal of Financial Regulation and Compliance 24:3, pages 343-362.
Crossref
Trevor Fitzpatrick & Christophe Mues. (2016) An empirical comparison of classification algorithms for mortgage default prediction: evidence from a distressed mortgage market. European Journal of Operational Research 249:2, pages 427-439.
Crossref
Galina Andreeva, Raffaella Calabrese & Silvia Angela Osmetti. (2016) A comparative analysis of the UK and Italian small businesses using Generalised Extreme Value models. European Journal of Operational Research 249:2, pages 506-516.
Crossref
Raffaella Calabrese & Silvia Angela Osmetti. (2015) Improving Forecast of Binary Rare Events Data: A GAM‐Based Approach. Journal of Forecasting 34:3, pages 230-239.
Crossref
Raffaella Calabrese & Silvia Angela Osmetti. 2014. Analysis and Modeling of Complex Data in Behavioral and Social Sciences. Analysis and Modeling of Complex Data in Behavioral and Social Sciences 73 81 .
Ping Xiao, Mad Ithnin Salleh, B.B. Zaidan & Xuelan Yang. (2022) Research on Risk Assessment of Blockchain-Driven Supply Chain Finance: A Systematic Review. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Crossref
Hansheng Wang, Jing Zhou & Danyang Huang. (2018) RFMS Method for Credit Scoring Based on Bank Card Transaction Data. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Crossref

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.