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Article

The efficacy of ACH in mitigating serial position effects and confirmation bias in an intelligence analysis scenario

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Read on this site (4)

Ariel Kruger, Luke Thorburn & Timothy van Gelder. (2022) Using argument mapping to improve clarity and rigour in written intelligence products. Intelligence and National Security 37:5, pages 607-626.
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David R. Mandel, Tonya L. Hendriks & Daniel Irwin. (2022) Policy for promoting analytic rigor in intelligence: professionals’ views and their psychological correlates. Intelligence and National Security 37:2, pages 177-196.
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Jennifer Stromer-Galley, Patricia Rossini, Kate Kenski, Brian McKernan, Benjamin Clegg, James Folkestad, Carsten Østerlund, Lael Schooler, Olga Boichak, Jordan Canzonetta, Rosa Mikeal Martey, Corey Pavlich, Eric Tsetsi & Nancy McCracken. (2021) Flexible versus structured support for reasoning: enhancing analytical reasoning through a flexible analytic technique. Intelligence and National Security 36:2, pages 279-298.
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David R. Mandel. (2020) The occasional maverick of analytic tradecraft. Intelligence and National Security 35:3, pages 438-443.
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Articles from other publishers (3)

Christopher W. Karvetski & David R. Mandel. (2023) Coherence of probability judgments from uncertain evidence: Does ACH help?. Judgment and Decision Making 15:6, pages 939-958.
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Tim van Gelder, Ariel Kruger, Sujai Thomman, Richard de Rozario, Elizabeth Silver, Morgan Saletta, Ashley Barnett, Richard O. Sinnott, Glenn Tesla Jayaputera & Mark Burgman. (2020) Improving Analytic Reasoning via Crowdsourcing and Structured Analytic Techniques. Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making 14:3, pages 195-217.
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Christopher W. Karvetski, David R. Mandel & Daniel Irwin. (2020) Improving Probability Judgment in Intelligence Analysis: From Structured Analysis to Statistical Aggregation. Risk Analysis 40:5, pages 1040-1057.
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