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Articles

Forecasting conflict using a diverse machine-learning ensemble: Ensemble averaging with multiple tree-based algorithms and variance promoting data configurations

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Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco & Michael Colaresi. (2022) Lessons from an escalation prediction competition. International Interactions 48:4, pages 521-554.
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Paola Vesco, Håvard Hegre, Michael Colaresi, Remco Bastiaan Jansen, Adeline Lo, Gregor Reisch & Nils B. Weidmann. (2022) United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition. International Interactions 48:4, pages 860-896.
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Iris Malone. (2022) Recurrent neural networks for conflict forecasting. International Interactions 48:4, pages 614-632.
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