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International Interactions
Empirical and Theoretical Research in International Relations
Volume 48, 2022 - Issue 4: Lessons from a Conflict Escalation Prediction Competition
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Articles

Predicting (de-)escalation of sub-national violence using gradient boosting: Does it work?

Jonas Vestbya Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)Correspondence[email protected]
ORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3054-977XView further author information
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Jürgen Brandschb Bonn International Center for Conversion (BICC)ORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7261-9756View further author information
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Vilde Bergstad Larsena Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)View further author information
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Peder Landsverka Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)View further author information
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Andreas Forø Tollefsena Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO)ORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-0864-5132View further author information
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Pages 841-859 | Received 16 Dec 2020, Accepted 07 Dec 2021, Published online: 08 Mar 2022

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Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco & Michael Colaresi. (2022) Lessons from an escalation prediction competition. International Interactions 48:4, pages 521-554.
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Paola Vesco, Håvard Hegre, Michael Colaresi, Remco Bastiaan Jansen, Adeline Lo, Gregor Reisch & Nils B. Weidmann. (2022) United they stand: Findings from an escalation prediction competition. International Interactions 48:4, pages 860-896.
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