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Maritime Policy & Management
The flagship journal of international shipping and port research
Volume 38, 2011 - Issue 6
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Original Articles

Forecasting short-term freight rate cycles: do we have a more appropriate method than a normal distribution?

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Pages 645-672 | Received 11 Jun 2010, Accepted 17 Jan 2011, Published online: 07 Oct 2011

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Read on this site (6)

Luqi Ke, Qing Liu, Adolf K.Y. Ng & Wenming Shi. (2022) Quantitative modelling of shipping freight rates: developments in the past 20 years. Maritime Policy & Management 0:0, pages 1-19.
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Jun-Woo Jeon, Okan Duru & Gi-Tae Yeo. (2020) Modelling cyclic container freight index using system dynamics. Maritime Policy & Management 47:3, pages 287-303.
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Wenming Shi & Kevin X. Li. (2017) Themes and tools of maritime transport research during 2000-2014. Maritime Policy & Management 44:2, pages 151-169.
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Maria Alejandra Gomez Paz, Alberto Camarero Orive & Nicoletta González Cancelas. (2015) Use of the Delphi method to determine the constraints that affect the future size of large container ships. Maritime Policy & Management 42:3, pages 263-277.
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Peter Nielsen, Liping Jiang, Niels Gorm Malý Rytter & Gang Chen. (2014) An investigation of forecast horizon and observation fit’s influence on an econometric rate forecast model in the liner shipping industry. Maritime Policy & Management 41:7, pages 667-682.
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Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Cheng-Wei Lin. (2013) The cognition map of financial ratios of shipping companies using DEMATEL and MMDE. Maritime Policy & Management 40:2, pages 133-145.
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Articles from other publishers (11)

Junwoo Jeon, Emrah Gulay & Okan Duru. (2021) Spectral analysis of the dry bulk shipping market by utilizing the system dynamics approach. Maritime Business Review 8:1, pages 2-17.
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Yanhui Chen, Bin Liu & Tianzi Wang. (2020) Analysing and forecasting China containerized freight index with a hybrid decomposition–ensemble method based on EMD, grey wave and ARMA. Grey Systems: Theory and Application 11:3, pages 358-371.
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ARTHUR JIN LIN. (2021) VOLATILITY CONTAGION AMONG STOCK, CURRENCY, AND BULK SHIPPING MARKET DURING THE CHINA’S STOCK MARKET CRASH CRISIS. The Singapore Economic Review, pages 1-18.
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Devran Yazır, Bekir Şahin & Tsz Leung Yip. (2021) Selection of new design gas carriers by using fuzzy EVAMIX method. The Asian Journal of Shipping and Logistics 37:1, pages 91-104.
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Joan Mileski, Christopher Clott, Cassia Bomer Galvao & Taliese Laverne. (2020) Technical analysis: the psychology of the market of dry bulk freight rates. Journal of Shipping and Trade 5:1.
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Shusheng Ding, Yongmin Zhang & Meryem Duygun. (2019) Modeling Price Volatility Based on a Genetic Programming Approach. British Journal of Management 30:2, pages 328-340.
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Alexandros M. Goulielmos. (2017) The Myths about Forecasting, Business Cycles and Time Series, Which Prevent Economists to Forecast: With an Application to Shipping Industry. Modern Economy 08:12, pages 1455-1477.
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Alexandros M. Goulielmos. (2017) Strategies in “Shipping Business Management”. Modern Economy 08:10, pages 1211-1229.
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Qingcheng Zeng, Chenrui Qu, Adolf K.Y. Ng & Xiaofeng Zhao. (2015) A new approach for Baltic Dry Index forecasting based on empirical mode decomposition and neural networks. Maritime Economics & Logistics 18:2, pages 192-210.
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Shiyuan Zheng & Xiangang Lan. (2016) Multifractal analysis of spot rates in tanker markets and their comparisons with crude oil markets. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 444, pages 547-559.
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Wanting Chen. (2022) Behavioral Analysis of Port Green Emission Reduction and Pricing Strategy Under Market Competition Environments. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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