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Mathematical Population Studies
An International Journal of Mathematical Demography
Volume 5, 1995 - Issue 3: Population Projections: Simple VS. Complex Models
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Original Articles

Predictability, complexity, and catastrophe in a collapsible model of population, development, and environmental interactions

Warren C. Sanderson Department of Economics, SUNY‐Stony Brook, Stony Brook, NY, 11794–4384, USA; Population Program, IIASA, Laxenburg, A‐2361, Austria
Pages 259-279 | Received 20 Feb 1995, Published online: 21 Sep 2009

Citations (12)

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Robert McNown, Andrei Rogers & Jani Little. (1995) Simplicity and complexity in extrapolatwe population forecasting models. Mathematical Population Studies 5:3, pages 235-257.
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Articles from other publishers (11)

Branislav Bleha. (2019) How much can societal turning points affect forecasts’ accuracy in Europe? Case of post-communistic transformation in Slovakia and the Czech Republic. European Journal of Futures Research 7:1.
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Nico Keilman. 2019. Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting. Old and New Perspectives on Mortality Forecasting 95 111 .
Stanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman & David A. SwansonStanley K. Smith, Jeff Tayman & David A. Swanson. 2013. A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections. A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections 185 213 .
Jeff Tayman. (2011) Assessing Uncertainty in Small Area Forecasts: State of the Practice and Implementation Strategy. Population Research and Policy Review 30:5, pages 781-800.
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Stefan Rayer, Stanley K. Smith & Jeff Tayman. (2009) Empirical Prediction Intervals for County Population Forecasts. Population Research and Policy Review 28:6, pages 773-793.
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Guangqing Chi. (2009) Can knowledge improve population forecasts at subcounty levels?. Demography 46:2, pages 405-427.
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Jeff Tayman, Stanley K. Smith & Jeffrey Lin. (2007) Precision, bias, and uncertainty for state population forecasts: an exploratory analysis of time series models. Population Research and Policy Review 26:3, pages 347-369.
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Heather Booth. (2006) Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review. International Journal of Forecasting 22:3, pages 547-581.
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Joshua R. Goldstein & Guy Stecklov. (2004) Long‐Range Population Projections Made Simple. Population and Development Review 28:1, pages 121-141.
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Stanley K. Smith. (1997) Further thoughts on simplicity and complexity in population projection models. International Journal of Forecasting 13:4, pages 557-565.
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Alexandra Milik, Alexia Prskawetz, Gustav Feichtinger & Warren C. Sanderson. (1996) Slow-fast dynamics in Wonderland. Environmental Modeling & Assessment 1:1-2, pages 3-17.
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