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Original Articles

SECOND THOUGHTS ABOUT EXPERT POLITICAL JUDGMENT: REPLY TO THE SYMPOSIUM

Pages 467-488 | Published online: 26 Feb 2011

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Paul Gunn. (2019) Against Epistocracy. Critical Review 31:1, pages 26-82.
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Gabriel Recchia, Alexandra L. J. Freeman & David Spiegelhalter. (2021) How well did experts and laypeople forecast the size of the COVID-19 pandemic?. PLOS ONE 16:5, pages e0250935.
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Matteo Truffelli & Lorenzo Zambernardi. (2019) Taking Modernity to Extremes: On the Roots of Anti-Politics. Political Studies Review 19:1, pages 96-110.
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Mark Winskel & Michael Kattirtzi. (2020) Transitions, disruptions and revolutions: Expert views on prospects for a smart and local energy revolution in the UK. Energy Policy 147, pages 111815.
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Jeffrey A Friedman, Joshua D Baker, Barbara A Mellers, Philip E Tetlock & Richard Zeckhauser. (2018) The Value of Precision in Probability Assessment: Evidence from a Large-Scale Geopolitical Forecasting Tournament. International Studies Quarterly.
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Gerald Schneider, Maya Hadar & Naomi Bosler. (2017) The oracle or the crowd? Experts versus the stock market in forecasting ceasefire success in the Levant. Journal of Peace Research 54:2, pages 231-242.
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Lorenzo Zambernardi. (2015) Politics is too important to be left to political scientists: A critique of the theory–policy nexus in International Relations. European Journal of International Relations 22:1, pages 3-23.
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Michael D Ward. (2016) Can We Predict Politics? Toward What End?: Table 1.. Journal of Global Security Studies 1:1, pages 80-91.
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Michael D. Ward, Nils W. Metternich, Cassy L. Dorff, Max Gallop, Florian M. Hollenbach, Anna Schultz & Simon Weschle. (2013) Learning from the Past and Stepping into the Future: Toward a New Generation of Conflict Prediction. International Studies Review 15:4, pages 473-490.
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