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Original Articles

Research on hindsight bias: A rich past, a productive present, and a challenging future

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Pages 329-335 | Published online: 22 Sep 2010

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Read on this site (4)

Katrin Gerber, Barbara Hayes & Christina Bryant. (2019) Preferences for place of care and place of death: What, how, when and who to ask?. Progress in Palliative Care 27:2, pages 64-68.
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Rüdiger F. Pohl, Ute J. Bayen, Nina Arnold, Tina-Sarah Auer & Claudia Martin. (2018) Age Differences in Processes Underlying Hindsight Bias: A Life-Span Study. Journal of Cognition and Development 19:3, pages 278-300.
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DustinP. Calvillo. (2012) Working memory and the memory distortion component of hindsight bias. Memory 20:8, pages 891-898.
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Articles from other publishers (26)

Bassam A. TayehWesam Salah AlaloulMurad Hatem AlkurdiYazan Issa Abu Aisheh & Muhammad Ali Musarat. (2022) Evaluation of Biases in Construction Project Dispute Resolution: Case Study. Journal of Legal Affairs and Dispute Resolution in Engineering and Construction 14:1.
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Sai On Cheung & Keyao Li. 2022. Construction Dispute Research Expanded. Construction Dispute Research Expanded 3 33 .
Jieying Chen, Lok Ching Kwan, Lok Yeung Ma, Hiu Yee Choi, Ying Ching Lo, Shin Yee Au, Chi Ho Tsang, Bo Ley Cheng & Gilad Feldman. (2021) Retrospective and prospective hindsight bias: Replications and extensions of Fischhoff (1975) and Slovic and Fischhoff (1977). Journal of Experimental Social Psychology 96, pages 104154.
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Lisa K. Son, Seok Sung Hong, Lu Han, Yoonhyoung Lee & Tae Hoon Kim. (2021) Taking a naïve other's perspective to debias the hindsight bias: Did it backfire?. New Ideas in Psychology 62, pages 100867.
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Siba Ghrear, Klint Fung, Taeh Haddock & Susan A.J. Birch. (2020) Only Familiar Information is a “Curse”: Children’s Ability to Predict What Their Peers Know. Child Development 92:1, pages 54-75.
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Sai On Cheung & Keyao Li. (2019) Biases in construction project dispute resolution. Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 26:2, pages 321-348.
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David Sarpong, Eve Eyres & Georgios Batsakis. (2019) Narrating the future: A distentive capability approach to strategic foresight. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 140, pages 105-114.
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Jens Koed MadsenJens Koed Madsen. 2019. The Psychology of Micro-Targeted Election Campaigns. The Psychology of Micro-Targeted Election Campaigns 59 102 .
Keyao Li & Sai On Cheung. (2018) Bias Measurement Scale for Repeated Dispute Evaluations. Journal of Management in Engineering 34:4.
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Nadine Fleischhut, Björn Meder & Gerd Gigerenzer. (2017) Moral Hindsight. Experimental Psychology 64:2, pages 110-123.
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Hartmut Blank, Birk Diedenhofen & Jochen Musch. (2015) Looking back on the London Olympics: Independent outcome and hindsight effects in decision evaluation. British Journal of Social Psychology 54:4, pages 798-807.
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David Patrick Houghton. (2015) Spies and Boats and Planes: An Examination of U.S. Decision-Making during the Pueblo Hostage Crisis of 1968 . Journal of Cold War Studies 17:4, pages 4-40.
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Nakeung Lee. (2013) Judgment of Likelihood of Risky Events and Hindsight Bias: The effects of expectation-outcome inconsistency in hypothetical design. Ewha Journal of Social Sciences 29:null, pages 363-382.
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Andrew J. Evelo & Edie Greene. (2013) Judgments about Felony-Murder in Hindsight. Applied Cognitive Psychology 27:3, pages 277-285.
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Guido Palazzo, Franciska Krings & Ulrich Hoffrage. (2011) Ethical Blindness. Journal of Business Ethics 109:3, pages 323-338.
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Janet Metcalfe & Bridgid Finn. (2012) Hypercorrection of high confidence errors in children. Learning and Instruction 22:4, pages 253-261.
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Lisa K. Son & Nate Kornell. (2010) The virtues of ignorance. Behavioural Processes 83:2, pages 207-212.
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Hartmut Blank, Steffen Nestler, Gernot von Collani & Volkhard Fischer. (2008) How many hindsight biases are there?. Cognition 106:3, pages 1408-1440.
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Ute J. Bayen, Rüdiger F. Pohl, Edgar Erdfelder & Tina–Sarah Auer. (2007) Hindsight Bias Across the Life Span. Social Cognition 25:1, pages 83-97.
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Rüdiger F. Pohl. (2007) Ways to Assess Hindsight Bias. Social Cognition 25:1, pages 14-31.
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Hartmut Blank & Steffen Nestler. (2007) Cognitive Process Models of Hindsight Bias. Social Cognition 25:1, pages 132-146.
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Ute J. Bayen, Edgar Erdfelder, J. Neil Bearden & Jeffrey P. Lozito. (2006) The interplay of memory and judgment processes in effects of aging on hindsight bias.. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition 32:5, pages 1003-1018.
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Anders Winman & Peter Juslin. 2010. Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition. Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition 409 439 .
Ulrich Hoffrage & Ralph Hertwig. 2010. Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition. Information Sampling and Adaptive Cognition 381 408 .
John P. Caughlin, Walid A. Afifi, Katy E. Carpenter-Theune & Laura E. Miller. (2005) Reasons for, and consequences of, revealing personal secrets in close relationships: A longitudinal study. Personal Relationships 12:1, pages 43-59.
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Rüdiger Pohl & Irma Haracic. (2005) Der Rückschaufehler bei Kindern und Erwachsenen. Zeitschrift für Entwicklungspsychologie und Pädagogische Psychologie 37:1, pages 46-55.
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