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RESEARCH

Statistical Tests of Real‐Money versus Play‐Money Prediction Markets

Pages 63-69 | Published online: 17 Feb 2007

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Nishanth Nakshatri, Arjun Menon, C. Lee Giles, Sarah Rajtmajer & Christopher Griffin. (2021) Design and analysis of a synthetic prediction market using dynamic convex sets. Results in Control and Optimization 5, pages 100052.
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Carlos Bousono-Calzon, Harold Molina-Bulla, Jose Joaquin Escudero-Garzas & Francisco J. Herrera-Galvez. (2018) Expert Selection in Prediction Markets With Homological Invariants. IEEE Access 6, pages 32226-32239.
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Pavel Atanasov, Phillip Rescober, Eric Stone, Samuel A. Swift, Emile Servan-Schreiber, Philip Tetlock, Lyle Ungar & Barbara Mellers. (2017) Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls. Management Science 63:3, pages 691-706.
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Kristoffer Ahlstrom‐Vij. 2016. A Companion to Applied Philosophy. A Companion to Applied Philosophy 89 102 .
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ShengYun Yang, Ting Li & Eric van Heck. (2015) Information transparency in prediction markets. Decision Support Systems 78, pages 67-79.
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Tobias Prokesch, Heiko A. von der Gracht & Holger Wohlenberg. (2015) Integrating prediction market and Delphi methodology into a foresight support system — Insights from an online game. Technological Forecasting and Social Change 97, pages 47-64.
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Leonid Krasnozhon & John Levendis. (2013) Mises and prediction markets: Can markets forecast?. The Review of Austrian Economics 28:1, pages 41-52.
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Jihui Chen & Xiaoyong Zheng. (2012) Price Volatility and Contract Maturity: Evidence from an Online Futures Market for Sports Tickets. Eastern Economic Journal 40:1, pages 56-70.
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Martin Waitz & Andreas Mild. (2013) Corporate prediction markets: a tool for predicting market shares. Journal of Business Economics 83:3, pages 193-212.
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Christian Slamka, Wolfgang Jank & Bernd Skiera. (2011) Second‐Generation Prediction Markets for Information Aggregation: A Comparison of Payoff Mechanisms. Journal of Forecasting 31:6, pages 469-489.
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Russ Ray. (2012) Managing Financial Risk Via Prediction Markets. The Journal of Investing 21:2, pages 76-80.
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Russ Ray. (2012) Managing Financial Risk Via Prediction Markets. The Journal of Investing, pages 120504002246006.
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Russ Ray. (2012) The Future of Medicine. The American Journal of Medicine 125:3, pages 236-239.
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Daniel E. O'Leary. 2011. Advances in Business and Management Forecasting. Advances in Business and Management Forecasting 169 184 .
Victor Tiberius & Christoph Rasche. (2010) Prognosemärkte. Zeitschrift für Planung & Unternehmenssteuerung 21:4, pages 467-472.
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Andreas Graefe & J. Scott Armstrong. (2011) Comparing face-to-face meetings, nominal groups, Delphi and prediction markets on an estimation task. International Journal of Forecasting 27:1, pages 183-195.
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Thomas S. Gruca. 2010. Wiley International Encyclopedia of Marketing. Wiley International Encyclopedia of Marketing.
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Steven H. Goldberg. 2009. Billions of Drops in Millions of Buckets. Billions of Drops in Millions of Buckets 241 258 .
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Feng Zhou. (2007) An Analysis of Tradesports' 2005-06 National Football League Prediction Market. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Ke Wu & Spencer Wheatley. (2017) The British Pound on Brexit Night: A Natural Experiment of Market Efficiency and Real-Time Predictability. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Russ Ray. (2011) Managing Financial Risk via Prediction Markets. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Christian Slamka, Wolfgang Jank & Bernd Skiera. (2009) Second-Generation Prediction Markets for Information Aggregation: A Comparison of Payoff Mechanisms. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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Thomas Seemann. (2008) The Effect of Stock Endowments on the Liquidity of Prediciton Markets. SSRN Electronic Journal.
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