Advanced search
Publication Cover
Applied Economics Letters Volume 10, 2003 - Issue 8
Submit an article Journal homepage
352
Views
27
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

Can confidence indicators be useful to predict short term real GDP growth?

Annabelle Mourougane Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt, Germany
&
Moreno Roma Directorate General Economics, European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, 60311 Frankfurt, Germany
Pages 519-522 | Published online: 06 Oct 2010

Citations (27)

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Subscribe to citation updates

Read on this site (5)

Yoichi Sekizawa, Yasuo Goto, Remi Noguchi, Miral So & Eiji Shimizu. (2021) Associations between Japan’s consumer confidence index and emotion-related variables such as depression, anxiety, and positive affect. Cogent Psychology 8:1.
Read now
Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli. (2013) Financial variables as leading indicators of GDP growth: Evidence from a MIDAS approach during the Great Recession. Applied Economics Letters 20:3, pages 233-237.
Read now
Vladimir Kühl Teles & Maria Carolina Leme. (2010) Fundamentals or market sentiment: what causes country risk?. Applied Economics 42:20, pages 2577-2585.
Read now
Aaron Mehrotra & Jouko Rautava. (2008) Do sentiment indicators help to assess and predict actual developments of the Chinese economy?. Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies 6:3, pages 225-239.
Read now
António Caleiro. (2006) How is confidence related to unemployment in Portugal?. Applied Economics Letters 13:13, pages 887-890.
Read now

Articles from other publishers (22)

Andrea Fronzetti Colladon, Francesca Grippa, Barbara Guardabascio, Gabriele Costante & Francesco Ravazzolo. (2023) Forecasting consumer confidence through semantic network analysis of online news. Scientific Reports 13:1.
Crossref
Uju Violet Alola, Darya Baeva & Andrew Adewale Alola. (2023) Determining the (A)symmetric Role of Business–Consumer Confidence in Outward–Inward Tourism in Russia: A Competitiveness Perspective. International Journal of Global Business and Competitiveness 18:1, pages 22-34.
Crossref
Raffaele Mattera, Michelangelo Misuraca, Maria Spano & Germana Scepi. (2022) Mixed frequency composite indicators for measuring public sentiment in the EU. Quality & Quantity 57:3, pages 2357-2382.
Crossref
Lenka Mynaříková & Vít Pošta. (2022) The Effect of Consumer Confidence and Subjective Well-being on Consumers’ Spending Behavior. Journal of Happiness Studies 24:2, pages 429-453.
Crossref
Abas Omar Mohamed. (2022) Modeling and Forecasting Somali Economic Growth Using ARIMA Models. Forecasting 4:4, pages 1038-1050.
Crossref
Lachezar Borisov. (2022) CONSUMER CONFIDENCE AND REAL ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE EUROZONE. Baltic Journal of Economic Studies 8:3, pages 7-13.
Crossref
Olena Khadzhynova, Žaneta Simanavičienė, Oleksiy Mints, Pavlo Burak & Valentyna Khachatrian. (2022) Assessment of the EU Countries’ Economic Security based on the Composite Indicators. WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS 19, pages 690-700.
Crossref
İbrahim BİCİL & Yasemin BAŞARIR. (2022) Symmetric and Assymmetric Relationship between Real Sector Confidence Index and Industrial Production Index. BİLTÜRK Journal of Economics and Related Studies.
Crossref
António Bento Caleiro. (2021) Learning to Classify the Consumer Confidence Indicator (in Portugal). Economies 9:3, pages 125.
Crossref
Sudeshna Ghosh. (2020) Consumer Confidence and Consumer Spending in Brazil: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model Analysis. Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice 20:1, pages 53-85.
Crossref
L. A. Kitrar & T. M. Lipkind. (2021) Development of Composite Indicators of Cyclical Response in Business Surveys. Voprosy statistiki 28:2, pages 24-41.
Crossref
Sudeshna Ghosh. (2020) Business Confidence and Business Tourism in Japan. Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy 12:01, pages 2150003.
Crossref
Thomas Lux, Duc Thi Luu & Boyan Yanovski. (2019) An analysis of systemic risk in worldwide economic sentiment indices. Empirica 47:4, pages 909-928.
Crossref
Hassan F. Gholipour & Behzad Foroughi. (2019) Business Sentiment and International Business Travels: A Cross-country Analysis. Journal of Travel Research 59:6, pages 1061-1072.
Crossref
Mariana Hatmanu, Cristina Cautisanu & Mihaela Ifrim. (2020) The Impact of Interest Rate, Exchange Rate and European Business Climate on Economic Growth in Romania: An ARDL Approach with Structural Breaks. Sustainability 12:7, pages 2798.
Crossref
G. Bruno, L. Crosilla & P. Margani. (2018) Inspecting the Relationship Between Business Confidence and Industrial Production: Evidence on Italian Survey Data. Journal of Business Cycle Research 15:1, pages 1-24.
Crossref
Mohammed Elshendy & Andrea Fronzetti Colladon. (2017) Big data analysis of economic news. International Journal of Engineering Business Management 9, pages 184797901772004.
Crossref
Paul Smith. (2015) The Importance of Being Timely. Journal of Forecasting 34:6, pages 492-506.
Crossref
Christos Kallandranis & Socrates Karidis. (2014) Assessing the Effect of the Consumer-Voter Sentiment on Tiebout-Like Migration: The EU 27 Case. Global Economy Journal 14:1, pages 31-55.
Crossref
Zhuo Qiao & Patrick Kuok-Kun Chu. (2014) Does fine wine price contain useful information to forecast GDP? Evidence from major developed countries. Economic Modelling 38, pages 75-79.
Crossref
Esmeralda A. Ramalho, António Caleiro & Andreia Dionfsio. (2011) Explaining consumer confidence in Portugal. Journal of Economic Psychology 32:1, pages 25-32.
Crossref
Liudmila Kitrar & Tamara Lipkind. (2021) Development Of Composite Indicators Of Cyclical Response In Business Surveys Considering The Specifics Of The ‘Covid-19 Economy’. SSRN Electronic Journal.
Crossref

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Order Reprints Request Corporate Permissions

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

Request Academic Permissions

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.

Supercharge Your Next Research Paper: Research and write your next paper with Jenni AI.

Related research

People also read lists articles that other readers of this article have read.

Recommended articles lists articles that we recommend and is powered by our AI driven recommendation engine.

Cited by lists all citing articles based on Crossref citations.
Articles with the Crossref icon will open in a new tab.