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Thinking & Reasoning Volume 13, 2007 - Issue 4
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Original Article

What makes us believe a conditional? The roles of covariation and causality

Klaus Oberauer University of Potsdam, GermanyCorrespondence[email protected]
,
Andrea Weidenfeld University of Potsdam, Germany
&
Katrin Fischer University of Potsdam, Germany
Pages 340-369 | Received 08 Dec 2005, Published online: 04 Oct 2007

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Igor Douven, Shira Elqayam, Henrik Singmann & Janneke van Wijnbergen-Huitink. (2020) Conditionals and inferential connections: toward a new semantics. Thinking & Reasoning 26:3, pages 311-351.
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Niels Skovgaard-Olsen, David Kellen, Hannes Krahl & Karl Christoph Klauer. (2017) Relevance differently affects the truth, acceptability, and probability evaluations of “and”, “but”, “therefore”, and “if–then”. Thinking & Reasoning 23:4, pages 449-482.
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Momme von Sydow. (2016) Towards a pattern-based logic of probability judgements and logical inclusion “fallacies”. Thinking & Reasoning 22:3, pages 297-335.
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Igor Douven & Sara Verbrugge. (2012) Indicatives, concessives, and evidential support. Thinking & Reasoning 18:4, pages 480-499.
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JonathanSt. B. T. Evans. (2012) Questions and challenges for the new psychology of reasoning. Thinking & Reasoning 18:1, pages 5-31.
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Articles from other publishers (25)

Robert van Rooij, Karolina Krzyżanowska & Igor Douven. (2023) Williamson’s Abductive Case for the Material Conditional Account. Studia Logica 111:4, pages 653-685.
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Moyun Wang, David Over & Lixia Liang. (2022) What is required for the truth of a general conditional?. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 75:11, pages 2105-2117.
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Michal Sikorski. (2022) The Ramsey Test and Evidential Support Theory. Journal of Logic, Language and Information 31:3, pages 493-504.
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Igor Douven, Shira Elqayam & Patricia Mirabile. (2022) Inference strength predicts the probability of conditionals better than conditional probability does. Journal of Memory and Language 123, pages 104302.
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Karolina Krzyżanowska, Peter J. Collins & Ulrike Hahn. (2021) True clauses and false connections. Journal of Memory and Language 121, pages 104252.
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Wojciech Rostworowski, Natalia Pietrulewicz & Marcin Bedkowski. (2021) Conditionals and specific links—an experimental study. Synthese 199:3-4, pages 7365-7399.
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Raymond S Nickerson, Susan F Butler & Daniel H Barch. (2021) Looking behind: Turning cards in the selection task. Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 74:8, pages 1451-1464.
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Patricia Mirabile & Igor Douven. (2020) Abductive conditionals as a test case for inferentialism. Cognition 200, pages 104232.
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Karolina Krzyżanowska & Igor Douven. (2018) Missing-link conditionals: pragmatically infelicitous or semantically defective?. Intercultural Pragmatics 15:2, pages 191-211.
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Igor Douven, Shira Elqayam, Henrik Singmann & Janneke van Wijnbergen-Huitink. (2018) Conditionals and inferential connections: A hypothetical inferential theory. Cognitive Psychology 101, pages 50-81.
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Karolina Krzyżanowska, Peter J. Collins & Ulrike Hahn. (2017) Between a conditional’s antecedent and its consequent: Discourse coherence vs. probabilistic relevance. Cognition 164, pages 199-205.
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Igor Douven. (2015) How to account for the oddness of missing-link conditionals. Synthese 194:5, pages 1541-1554.
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Jeong-A Park & Young-Soo Jang. (2016) The Effects of the Consumers' Beliefs of Seafood Certifications on The Behavioral Intention Biases in Making Certified Product purchases : Focused on Seasoned Laver. The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration 47:3, pages 71-92.
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Igor Douven. 2016. A Companion to Experimental Philosophy. A Companion to Experimental Philosophy 545 554 .
Niels Skovgaard-Olsen, Henrik Singmann & Karl Christoph Klauer. (2016) The relevance effect and conditionals. Cognition 150, pages 26-36.
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Momme von Sydow, York Hagmayer & Bj?rn Meder. (2015) Transitive reasoning distorts induction in causal chains. Memory & Cognition 44:3, pages 469-487.
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Woong-Hee Han. (2014) Escape Theory Approach to Consumers' Belief Biases. The Journal of the Korea Contents Association 14:11, pages 411-421.
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RONNIE HERMENS. (2014) PLACING PROBABILITIES OF CONDITIONALS IN CONTEXT. The Review of Symbolic Logic 7:3, pages 415-438.
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Igor Douven & Sara Verbrugge. (2013) The Probabilities of Conditionals Revisited. Cognitive Science 37:4, pages 711-730.
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한웅희. (2011) The Influence of Argument Structure of Product Advertisement on the Evaluation of Message Validity. Journal of Product Research 29:6, pages 161-172.
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Momme von Sydow. (2011) The Bayesian logic of frequency-based conjunction fallacies. Journal of Mathematical Psychology 55:2, pages 119-139.
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Igor Douven & Richard Dietz. (2011) A Puzzle About Stalnaker’s Hypothesis. Topoi 30:1, pages 31-37.
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Klaus Oberauer. 2010. Towards a Theory of Thinking. Towards a Theory of Thinking 135 146 .
Klaus Oberauer. (2009) Oaksford & Chater's theory of reasoning: High prior, lower posterior plausibility. Behavioral and Brain Sciences 32:1, pages 95-96.
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Jonathan St.B.T. Evans, Helen Neilens, Simon J. Handley & David E. Over. (2008) When can we say ‘if’?. Cognition 108:1, pages 100-116.
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