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Structure and Infrastructure Engineering
Maintenance, Management, Life-Cycle Design and Performance
Volume 14, 2018 - Issue 9
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Original Articles

Application of Markov chains and Monte Carlo simulations for developing pavement performance models for urban network management

Aleli Osorio-LirdEscuela de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería y Gestión de la Construcción, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile;National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management, Santiago, Chile;Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, CanadaCorrespondence[email protected]
,
Alondra ChamorroEscuela de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería y Gestión de la Construcción, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile;National Research Center for Integrated Natural Disaster Management, Santiago, ChileORCID Iconhttp://orcid.org/0000-0001-9466-6468
ORCID Icon,
Carlos VidelaEscuela de Ingeniería, Departamento de Ingeniería y Gestión de la Construcción, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
,
Susan TigheNorman W. McLeod Professor of Sustainable Pavement Engineering, Centre for Pavement and Transportation Technology, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada
&
Cristina Torres-MachiDepartment of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, USAORCID Iconhttp://orcid.org/0000-0002-4334-4474
ORCID Icon
Pages 1169-1181 | Received 10 Apr 2017, Accepted 26 Oct 2017, Published online: 28 Nov 2017

Citations (35)

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Angela J. Haddad, George A. Saad & Ghassan R. Chehab. (2023) Kalman filter updating of rutting predictive models in flexible pavements using measured field data. International Journal of Pavement Engineering 24:2.
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Linyi Yao, Zhen Leng, Jiwang Jiang & Fujian Ni. (2022) Modelling of pavement performance evolution considering uncertainty and interpretability: a machine learning based framework. International Journal of Pavement Engineering 23:14, pages 5211-5226.
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Hamed Naseri, Amir Golroo, Mohammad Shokoohi & Amir H. Gandomi. (2022) Sustainable pavement maintenance and rehabilitation planning using the marine predator optimization algorithm. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering 0:0, pages 1-13.
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Tatiana García-Segura, Laura Montalbán-Domingo, David Llopis-Castelló, Michael D. Lepech, M. Amalia Sanz & Eugenio Pellicer. (2022) Incorporating pavement deterioration uncertainty into pavement management optimization. International Journal of Pavement Engineering 23:6, pages 2062-2073.
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Hamed Naseri, Amirhossein Fani & Amir Golroo. (2022) Toward equity in large-scale network-level pavement maintenance and rehabilitation scheduling using water cycle and genetic algorithms. International Journal of Pavement Engineering 23:4, pages 1095-1107.
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Saeid Alimoradi, Amir Golroo & Seyed Mohammad Asgharzadeh. (2022) Development of pavement roughness master curves using Markov Chain. International Journal of Pavement Engineering 23:2, pages 453-463.
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Alelí Osorio-Lird, Alondra Chamorro & Álvaro González. (2021) Analysis of roughness performance of chloride-stabilised rural roads. International Journal of Pavement Engineering 22:13, pages 1720-1730.
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Mohamed S. Yamany & Emad Elwakil. (2020) Modelling of cast-in-place concrete tunnel liners condition. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering 16:8, pages 1147-1160.
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Pierre Hankach, Tristan Lorino & Pascal Gastineau. (2019) A constraint-based, efficiency optimisation approach to network-level pavement maintenance management. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering 15:11, pages 1450-1467.
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Articles from other publishers (26)

David Vallès-VallèsCristina Torres-Machi. (2023) Deterioration of Flexible Pavements Induced by Flooding: Case Study Using Stochastic Monte Carlo Simulations in Discrete-Time Markov Chains. Journal of Infrastructure Systems 29:1.
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Yishun Li, Chenglong Liu, Qian Gao, Difei Wu, Feng Li & Yuchuan Du. (2022) ConTrack Distress Dataset: A Continuous Observation for Pavement Deterioration Spatio-Temporal Analysis. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 23:12, pages 25004-25017.
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Baris Salman & Burak Gursoy. (2022) Markov chain pavement deterioration prediction models for local street networks. Built Environment Project and Asset Management 12:6, pages 853-870.
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Aihui Hu, Qiang Bai, Lin Chen, Siyuan Meng, Qihui Li & Zhiman Xu. (2022) A review on empirical methods of pavement performance modeling. Construction and Building Materials 342, pages 127968.
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Dunja Perić, Gyuhyeong Goh, Javad Saeidaskari, Arash Saeidi Rashk Olia & Pooyan Ayar. (2022) Development of Prediction Models for Performance of Flexible Pavements in Kansas with Emphasis on the Effects of Subgrade and Unbound Layers. Sustainability 14:15, pages 9020.
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Hongjiang Liu, Mingyan Liu & Yun Li. (2022) Condition Detection and Maintenance of Steel-Fiber-Reinforced Concrete Based on Markov Random Matrix. Mathematical Problems in Engineering 2022, pages 1-12.
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Amirreza Mahpour & Tamer El-Diraby. (2022) Application of Machine-Learning in Network-Level Road Maintenance Policy-Making: The Case of Iran. Expert Systems with Applications 191, pages 116283.
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Mingxing Zhou, Huiting Liu & Zicheng Wang. (2022) Can Smart City Construction Promote the Level of Public Services? Quantitative Evidence From China. IEEE Access 10, pages 120923-120935.
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William Seites-Rundlett, Mohammad Z. Bashar, Cristina Torres-Machi & Ross B. Corotis. (2022) Combined evidence model to enhance pavement condition prediction from highly uncertain sensor data. Reliability Engineering & System Safety 217, pages 108031.
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Juan Antonio Guevara, Daniel Gómez, Javier Castro, Inmaculada Gutiérrez & José Manuel Robles. 2022. Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems. Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems 151 162 .
S. Madeh Piryonesi & Tamer El-Diraby. (2021) Climate change impact on infrastructure: A machine learning solution for predicting pavement condition index. Construction and Building Materials 306, pages 124905.
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Maria Valentina Clavijo Mesa, Carmen Elena Patino-Rodriguez, Fernando Jesus Guevara Carazas, Indra Gunawan & Enrique López Droguett. (2021) Asset management strategies using reliability, availability, and maintainability (RAM) analysis. Journal of the Brazilian Society of Mechanical Sciences and Engineering 43:11.
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Shivesh Shrestha, Samer W. KatichaGerardo W. FlintschBrian K. Diefenderfer. (2021) Pavement Deterioration Modeling and Network-Level Pavement Management Using Continuous Deflection Measurements. Journal of Infrastructure Systems 27:3.
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Mohamed S. Yamany, Dulcy M. AbrahamSamuel Labi. (2021) Comparative Analysis of Markovian Methodologies for Modeling Infrastructure System Performance. Journal of Infrastructure Systems 27:2.
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Mohammad Z. Bashar & Cristina Torres-Machi. (2021) Performance of Machine Learning Algorithms in Predicting the Pavement International Roughness Index. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board 2675:5, pages 226-237.
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Mohamed S. Yamany & Dulcy M. Abraham. (2021) Hybrid Approach to Incorporate Preventive Maintenance Effectiveness into Probabilistic Pavement Performance Models. Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part B: Pavements 147:1, pages 04020077.
Crossref
Adriana Santos, Elisabete F. Freitas, Susana Faria, Joel R. M. Oliveira & Ana Maria A. C. Rocha. (2021) Prediction of Friction Degradation in Highways with Linear Mixed Models. Coatings 11:2, pages 187.
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David Llopis-Castelló, Tatiana García-Segura, Laura Montalbán-Domingo, Amalia Sanz-Benlloch & Eugenio Pellicer. (2020) Influence of Pavement Structure, Traffic, and Weather on Urban Flexible Pavement Deterioration. Sustainability 12:22, pages 9717.
Crossref
German Metayer, Cristina Torres-Machi & Alfonso Bastias. (2020) A Proposed Framework for the Integrated Management of Municipal Infrastructure. A Proposed Framework for the Integrated Management of Municipal Infrastructure.
Ankang Ji, Xiaolong Xue, Yuna Wang, Xiaowei Luo & Minggong Zhang. (2020) AN INTEGRATED MULTI-OBJECTIVES OPTIMIZATION APPROACH ON MODELLING PAVEMENT MAINTENANCE STRATEGIES FOR PAVEMENT SUSTAINABILITY. JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT 26:8, pages 717-732.
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B. Moins, C. France, W. Van den bergh & A. Audenaert. (2020) Implementing life cycle cost analysis in road engineering: A critical review on methodological framework choices. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 133, pages 110284.
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Heriberto Pérez-Acebo, Hernán Gonzalo-Orden, Daniel J. Findley & Eduardo Rojí. (2020) A skid resistance prediction model for an entire road network. Construction and Building Materials 262, pages 120041.
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S. Madeh PiryonesiTamer E. El-Diraby. (2020) Role of Data Analytics in Infrastructure Asset Management: Overcoming Data Size and Quality Problems. Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part B: Pavements 146:2, pages 04020022.
Crossref
S. Madeh PiryonesiTamer E. El-Diraby. (2020) Data Analytics in Asset Management: Cost-Effective Prediction of the Pavement Condition Index. Journal of Infrastructure Systems 26:1.
Crossref
Heriberto Pérez-Acebo, Alaitz Linares-Unamunzaga, Eduardo Rojí & Hernán Gonzalo-Orden. (2020) IRI Performance Models for Flexible Pavements in Two-Lane Roads until First Maintenance and/or Rehabilitation Work. Coatings 10:2, pages 97.
Crossref
Yongtao Zhou, Qianqian Huang & Weijing Chen. (2019) Index Design of Urban Pavement Management based on AHP. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering 688:5, pages 055052.
Crossref

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