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Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography Volume 69, 2017 - Issue 1

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A global perspective of the limits of prediction skill of NWP models

Nedjeljka ŽagarFaculty of Mathematics and Physics, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.Correspondence[email protected]
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Article: 1317573 | Received 02 May 2016, Accepted 23 Jan 2017, Published online: 24 Apr 2017

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https://doi.org/10.1080/16000870.2017.1317573
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Ron McTaggart-Cowan, Leo Separovic, Rabah Aider, Martin Charron, Michel Desgagné, Pieter L. Houtekamer, Danahé Paquin-Ricard, Paul A. Vaillancourt & Ayrton Zadra. (2022) Using Stochastically Perturbed Parameterizations to Represent Model Uncertainty. Part I: Implementation and Parameter Sensitivity. Monthly Weather Review 150:11, pages 2829-2858.
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Sebastian Bley, Michael Rennie, Nedjeljka Žagar, Montserrat Pinol Sole, Anne Grete Straume, James Antifaev, Salvatore Candido, Robert Carver, Thorsten Fehr, Jonas von Bismarck, Anja Hünerbein & Hartwig Deneke. (2022) Validation of the Aeolus L2B Rayleigh winds and ECMWF short‐range forecasts in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere using Loon super pressure balloon observations . Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 148:749, pages 3852-3868.
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Peter Knippertz, Maria Gehne, George N. Kiladis, Kazuyoshi Kikuchi, Athul Rasheeda Satheesh, Paul E. Roundy, Gui‐Ying Yang, Nedjeljka Žagar, Juliana Dias, Andreas H. Fink, John Methven, Andreas Schlueter, Frank Sielmann & Matthew C. Wheeler. (2022) The intricacies of identifying equatorial waves. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 148:747, pages 2814-2852.
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P K Pradhan, Hari Prasad Dasari, Srinivas Desamsetti, S Vijaya Bhaskara Rao & Rambabu Guvvala. (2021) Sensitivity to initial conditions on the simulation of extratropical cyclone ‘Gong’ formed over North Atlantic. Journal of Earth System Science 130:1.
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N. Žagar, M. Rennie & L. Isaksen. (2021) Uncertainties in Kelvin Waves in ECMWF Analyses and Forecasts: Insights From Aeolus Observing System Experiments. Geophysical Research Letters 48:22.
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Sippora Stellingwerf, Emily Riddle, Thomas M. Hopson, Jason C. Knievel, Barbara Brown & Mekonnen Gebremichael. (2021) Optimizing Precipitation Forecasts for Hydrological Catchments in Ethiopia Using Statistical Bias Correction and Multi‐Modeling. Earth and Space Science 8:6.
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Jerome T. Tolentino & Gerry Bagtasa. (2021) Calibration of Kain–Fritsch cumulus scheme in Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model over Western Luzon, Philippines. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 133:3, pages 771-780.
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Roberto Buizza. 2021. Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction. Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction 81 117 .

Nedjeljka Žagar & Istvan Szunyogh. (2020) Comments on “What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?”. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 77:2, pages 781-785.
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Andreas Schlueter, Andreas H. Fink & Peter Knippertz. (2019) A Systematic Comparison of Tropical Waves over Northern Africa. Part II: Dynamics and Thermodynamics. Journal of Climate 32:9, pages 2605-2625.
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Peter Bechtold. 2019. Current Trends in the Representation of Physical Processes in Weather and Climate Models. Current Trends in the Representation of Physical Processes in Weather and Climate Models 29 50 .

Matic Šavli, Nedjeljka Žagar & Jeffrey L. Anderson. (2018) Assimilation of horizontal line‐of‐sight winds with a mesoscale EnKF data assimilation system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 144:716, pages 2133-2155.
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A global perspective of the limits of prediction skill of NWP models

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A global perspective of the limits of prediction skill of NWP models

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