1,361
Views
50
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Article

Complex systems models and the management of error and uncertainty

, , , , &
Pages 11-25 | Received 04 Dec 2007, Published online: 23 Jul 2008

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Read on this site (8)

Nicholas R. Magliocca, Pratik Dhungana & Carter D. Sink. (2023) Review of counterfactual land change modeling for causal inference in land system science. Journal of Land Use Science 18:1, pages 1-24.
Read now
Michaela Žoncová & Matej Masný. (2022) Comparison of land cover spatial trend model and real land cover changes: case study of Slovak Republic. Geocarto International 37:26, pages 13500-13517.
Read now
Hao Wu, Zhen Li, Keith C. Clarke, Wenzhong Shi, Linchuan Fang, Anqi Lin & Jie Zhou. (2019) Examining the sensitivity of spatial scale in cellular automata Markov chain simulation of land use change. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 33:5, pages 1040-1061.
Read now
Eun-Mi Hong, Yakov A. Pachepsky, Gene Whelan & Thomas Nicholson. (2017) Simpler models in environmental studies and predictions. Critical Reviews in Environmental Science and Technology 47:18, pages 1669-1712.
Read now
David O’Sullivan, Tom Evans, Steven Manson, Sara Metcalf, Arika Ligmann-Zielinska & Chris Bone. (2016) Strategic directions for agent-based modeling: avoiding the YAAWN syndrome. Journal of Land Use Science 11:2, pages 177-187.
Read now
Carsten Krüger & Tobia Lakes. (2015) Bayesian belief networks as a versatile method for assessing uncertainty in land-change modeling. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 29:1, pages 111-131.
Read now
Arika Ligmann-Zielinska. (2013) Spatially-explicit sensitivity analysis of an agent-based model of land use change. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 27:9, pages 1764-1781.
Read now
Fivos Papadimitriou. (2013) Mathematical modelling of land use and landscape complexity with ultrametric topology. Journal of Land Use Science 8:2, pages 234-254.
Read now

Articles from other publishers (42)

Ruth Nelson, Martijn Warnier & Trivik Verma. (2023) Conceptualizing Urban Inequalities as a Complex Socio‐Technical Phenomenon. Geographical Analysis.
Crossref
Chung‐Yi Lin & Yi‐Chen Ethan Yang. (2022) The Effects of Model Complexity on Model Output Uncertainty in Co‐Evolved Coupled Natural‐Human Systems. Earth's Future 10:6.
Crossref
Nathan D. Van Schmidt, Tamara S. Wilson & Ruth Langridge. (2022) Linkages between land-use change and groundwater management foster long-term resilience of water supply in California. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 40, pages 101056.
Crossref
Jeon‐Young Kang, Alexander Michels, Andrew Crooks, Jared Aldstadt & Shaowen Wang. (2021) An integrated framework of global sensitivity analysis and calibration for spatially explicit agent‐based models. Transactions in GIS 26:1, pages 100-128.
Crossref
Marina Vinogradova, Rodion Rogulin, Marina Ermakova & Igor Okhrimenko. (2021) Assessing the sources of uncertainty in supply chain management. Strategic Change 30:5, pages 453-460.
Crossref
David García-Álvarez, Christopher D. Lloyd, Hedwig Van Delden & María Teresa Camacho Olmedo. (2019) Thematic resolution influence in spatial analysis. An application to Land Use Cover Change (LUCC) modelling calibration. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 78, pages 101375.
Crossref
Jeon-Young Kang & Jared Aldstadt. (2019) Using multiple scale space-time patterns in variance-based global sensitivity analysis for spatially explicit agent-based models. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 75, pages 170-183.
Crossref
Brad G. Peter & Joseph P. Messina. (2019) Errors in Time-Series Remote Sensing and an Open Access Application for Detecting and Visualizing Spatial Data Outliers Using Google Earth Engine. IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing 12:4, pages 1165-1174.
Crossref
Eda Ustaoglu, Brendan Williams, Laura Petrov, Harutyun Shahumyan & Hedwig van Delden. (2017) Developing and Assessing Alternative Land-Use Scenarios from the MOLAND Model: A Scenario-Based Impact Analysis Approach for the Evaluation of Rapid Rail Provisions and Urban Development in the Greater Dublin Region. Sustainability 10:2, pages 61.
Crossref
Xue Li, Joseph P. Messina, Nathan J. Moore, Peilei Fan & Ashton M. Shortridge. (2017) MODIS land cover uncertainty in regional climate simulations. Climate Dynamics 49:11-12, pages 4047-4059.
Crossref
James Millington, Hang Xiong, Steve Peterson & Jeremy Woods. (2017) Integrating Modelling Approaches for Understanding Telecoupling: Global Food Trade and Local Land Use. Land 6:3, pages 56.
Crossref
Chengcheng Yuan, Liming Liu, Xiaoxing Qi, Yonghu Fu & Jinwei Ye. (2017) Assessing the impacts of the changes in farming systems on food security and environmental sustainability of a Chinese rural region under different policy scenarios: an agent-based model. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 189:7.
Crossref
Shuguang Liu, Ben Bond-Lamberty, Lena R. Boysen, James D. Ford, Andrew Fox, Kevin Gallo, Jerry Hatfield, Geoffrey M. Henebry, Thomas G. Huntington, Zhihua Liu, Thomas R. Loveland, Richard J. Norby, Terry Sohl, Allison L. Steiner, Wenping Yuan, Zhao Zhang & Shuqing Zhao. (2017) Grand Challenges in Understanding the Interplay of Climate and Land Changes. Earth Interactions 21:2, pages 1-43.
Crossref
Gareth Lagerwall, Gregory Kiker, Rafael Muñoz-Carpena & Naiming Wang. (2016) Accounting for the Impact of Management Scenarios on Typha Domingensis (Cattail) in an Everglades Wetland. Environmental Management 59:1, pages 129-140.
Crossref
Guangjin Tian, Bingran Ma, Xinliang Xu, Xiaoping Liu, Linyu Xu, Xiaojuan Liu, Lin Xiao & Lingqiang Kong. (2016) Simulation of urban expansion and encroachment using cellular automata and multi-agent system model—A case study of Tianjin metropolitan region, China. Ecological Indicators 70, pages 439-450.
Crossref
Jasper van Vliet, Arnold K. Bregt, Daniel G. Brown, Hedwig van Delden, Scott Heckbert & Peter H. Verburg. (2016) A review of current calibration and validation practices in land-change modeling. Environmental Modelling & Software 82, pages 174-182.
Crossref
Peter H. Verburg, John A. Dearing, James G. Dyke, Sander van der Leeuw, Sybil Seitzinger, Will Steffen & James Syvitski. (2016) Methods and approaches to modelling the Anthropocene. Global Environmental Change 39, pages 328-340.
Crossref
Steven M. Manson, Nicholas R. Jordan, Kristen C. Nelson & Rachel F. Brummel. (2016) Modeling the effect of social networks on adoption of multifunctional agriculture. Environmental Modelling & Software 75, pages 388-401.
Crossref
Zhaoya Gong, Jean-Claude Thill & Weiguo Liu. (2015) ART-P-MAP Neural Networks Modeling of Land-Use Change: Accounting for Spatial Heterogeneity and Uncertainty. Geographical Analysis 47:4, pages 376-409.
Crossref
Nicholas R. Magliocca, Jasper van Vliet, Calum Brown, Tom P. Evans, Thomas Houet, Peter Messerli, Joseph P. Messina, Kimberly A. Nicholas, Christine Ornetsmüller, Julian Sagebiel, Vanessa Schweizer, Peter H. Verburg & Qiangyi Yu. (2015) From meta-studies to modeling: Using synthesis knowledge to build broadly applicable process-based land change models. Environmental Modelling & Software 72, pages 10-20.
Crossref
Thomas Houet, Laure Vacquié & David Sheeren. (2015) Evaluating the spatial uncertainty of future land abandonment in a mountain valley (Vicdessos, Pyrenees - France): Insights from model parameterization and experiments. Journal of Mountain Science 12:5, pages 1095-1112.
Crossref
Anthony Jjumba & Suzana Dragicevic. (2015) Integrating GIS-Based Geo-Atom Theory and Voxel Automata to Simulate the Dispersal of Airborne Pollutants. Transactions in GIS 19:4, pages 582-603.
Crossref
Andreas Rienow & Roland Goetzke. (2015) Supporting SLEUTH – Enhancing a cellular automaton with support vector machines for urban growth modeling. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 49, pages 66-81.
Crossref
George P. Malanson & Stephen J. Walsh. (2015) Agent-based models: Individuals interacting in space. Applied Geography 56, pages 95-98.
Crossref
Andreas Rienow & Dirk Stenger. (2014) Geosimulation of urban growth and demographic decline in the Ruhr: a case study for 2025 using the artificial intelligence of cells and agents. Journal of Geographical Systems 16:3, pages 311-342.
Crossref
Isabel M. D. Rosa, Sadia E. Ahmed & Robert M. Ewers. (2014) The transparency, reliability and utility of tropical rainforest land-use and land-cover change models. Global Change Biology 20:6, pages 1707-1722.
Crossref
Marleen Schouten, Tim Verwaart & Wim Heijman. (2014) Comparing two sensitivity analysis approaches for two scenarios with a spatially explicit rural agent-based model. Environmental Modelling & Software 54, pages 196-210.
Crossref
Terry L. Sohl & Peter R. Claggett. (2013) Clarity versus complexity: Land-use modeling as a practical tool for decision-makers. Journal of Environmental Management 129, pages 235-243.
Crossref
Stephen G. Perz, Rafael Muñoz-Carpena, Gregory Kiker & Robert D. Holt. (2013) Evaluating ecological resilience with global sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. Ecological Modelling 263, pages 174-186.
Crossref
Tatiana Filatova, Peter H. Verburg, Dawn Cassandra Parker & Carol Ann Stannard. (2013) Spatial agent-based models for socio-ecological systems: Challenges and prospects. Environmental Modelling & Software 45, pages 1-7.
Crossref
Britaldo Soares-Filho, Hermann Rodrigues & Marco Follador. (2013) A hybrid analytical-heuristic method for calibrating land-use change models. Environmental Modelling & Software 43, pages 80-87.
Crossref
Brian Leung, Nuria Roura-Pascual, Sven Bacher, Jaakko Heikkilä, Lluis Brotons, Mark A. Burgman, Katharina Dehnen-Schmutz, Franz Essl, Philip E. Hulme, David M. Richardson, Daniel Sol & Montserrat Vilà. (2012) TEASIng apart alien species risk assessments: a framework for best practices. Ecology Letters 15:12, pages 1475-1493.
Crossref
Peter H. Verburg, Eric Koomen, Maarten Hilferink, Marta Pérez-Soba & Jan Peter Lesschen. (2012) An assessment of the impact of climate adaptation measures to reduce flood risk on ecosystem services. Landscape Ecology 27:4, pages 473-486.
Crossref
Quang Bao Le, Roman Seidl & Roland W. Scholz. (2012) Feedback loops and types of adaptation in the modelling of land-use decisions in an agent-based simulation. Environmental Modelling & Software 27-28, pages 83-96.
Crossref
A. Raymond Cabrera, Peter Deadman, Emilio Moran, Eduardo S. Brondízio & Leah K. Vanwey. 2012. Agent-Based Models of Geographical Systems. Agent-Based Models of Geographical Systems 663 676 .
Andrés Manuel García, Inés Santé, Rafael Crecente & David Miranda. (2011) An analysis of the effect of the stochastic component of urban cellular automata models. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 35:4, pages 289-296.
Crossref
S. Muller, R. Muñoz-Carpena & G. Kiker. 2011. Climate. Climate 39 65 .
Diego Valbuena, Arnold K. Bregt, Clive McAlpine, Peter H. Verburg & Leonie Seabrook. (2010) An agent-based approach to explore the effect of voluntary mechanisms on land use change: A case in rural Queensland, Australia. Journal of Environmental Management 91:12, pages 2615-2625.
Crossref
Diego Valbuena, Peter H. Verburg, A. Veldkamp, Arnold K. Bregt & Arend Ligtenberg. (2010) Effects of farmers’ decisions on the landscape structure of a Dutch rural region: An agent-based approach. Landscape and Urban Planning 97:2, pages 98-110.
Crossref
Diego Valbuena, Peter H. Verburg, Arnold K. Bregt & Arend Ligtenberg. (2009) An agent-based approach to model land-use change at a regional scale. Landscape Ecology 25:2, pages 185-199.
Crossref
Robert Gilmore PontiusJr.Jr. & Neeti Neeti. (2009) Uncertainty in the difference between maps of future land change scenarios. Sustainability Science 5:1.
Crossref
Laura O. Petrov, Carlo Lavalle & Marjo Kasanko. (2009) Urban land use scenarios for a tourist region in Europe: Applying the MOLAND model to Algarve, Portugal. Landscape and Urban Planning 92:1, pages 10-23.
Crossref

Reprints and Corporate Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

To request a reprint or corporate permissions for this article, please click on the relevant link below:

Academic Permissions

Please note: Selecting permissions does not provide access to the full text of the article, please see our help page How do I view content?

Obtain permissions instantly via Rightslink by clicking on the button below:

If you are unable to obtain permissions via Rightslink, please complete and submit this Permissions form. For more information, please visit our Permissions help page.