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Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography Volume 59, 2007 - Issue 3

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Original Articles

Probabilistic forecasts of near-term climate change: sensitivity to adjustment of simulated variability and choice of baseline period

Leena RuokolainenDepartment of Physical Sciences, Division of Atmospheric Sciences, P.O. Box 64, FIN-00014 University of Helsinki, FinlandCorrespondence[email protected]

Jouni RäisänenDepartment of Physical Sciences, Division of Atmospheric Sciences, P.O. Box 64, FIN-00014 University of Helsinki, Finland

Pages 309-320 | Received 26 Sep 2006, Accepted 26 Jan 2007, Published online: 15 Dec 2016

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https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2007.00233.x

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Citations (9)

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Articles from other publishers (9)

Nariman Mahmoodi, Jens Kiesel, Paul D. Wagner & Nicola Fohrer. (2021) Spatially distributed impacts of climate change and groundwater demand on the water resources in a wadi system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 25:9, pages 5065-5081.
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S Liersch, M Drews, T Pilz, S Salack, D Sietz, V Aich, M A D Larsen, A Gädeke, K Halsnæ s, W Thiery, S Huang, A Lobanova, H Koch & F F Hattermann. (2020) One simulation, different conclusions—the baseline period makes the difference!. Environmental Research Letters 15:10, pages 104014.
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F. J. Doblas-Reyes, I. Andreu-Burillo, Y. Chikamoto, J. García-Serrano, V. Guemas, M. Kimoto, T. Mochizuki, L. R. L. Rodrigues & G. J. van Oldenborgh. (2013) Initialized near-term regional climate change prediction. Nature Communications 4:1.
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E Kjellström, P Thejll, M Rummukainen, JH Christensen, F Boberg, OB Christensen & C Fox Maule. (2013) Emerging regional climate change signals for Europe under varying large-scale circulation conditions. Climate Research 56:2, pages 103-119.
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Yue-Ping Xu, Xujie Zhang, Qihua Ran & Ye Tian. (2013) Impact of climate change on hydrology of upper reaches of Qiantang River Basin, East China. Journal of Hydrology 483, pages 51-60.
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H. Du, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, J. García-Serrano, V. Guemas, Y. Soufflet & B. Wouters. (2012) Sensitivity of decadal predictions to the initial atmospheric and oceanic perturbations. Climate Dynamics 39:7-8, pages 2013-2023.
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Ralph Ledbetter, Christel Prudhomme & Nigel Arnell. (2011) A method for incorporating climate variability in climate change impact assessments: Sensitivity of river flows in the Eden catchment to precipitation scenarios. Climatic Change 113:3-4, pages 803-823.
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Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes, Bert Wouters & Wilco Hazeleger. (2012) Decadal prediction skill in a multi-model ensemble. Climate Dynamics 38:7-8, pages 1263-1280.
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F. J. Doblas-Reyes, M. A. Balmaseda, A. Weisheimer & T. N. Palmer. (2011) Decadal climate prediction with the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts coupled forecast system: Impact of ocean observations. Journal of Geophysical Research 116:D19.
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