549
Views
51
CrossRef citations to date
0
Altmetric
Original Articles

The relationship between peak warming and cumulative CO2 emissions, and its use to quantify vulnerabilities in the carbon-climate-human system

, , , , &
Pages 145-164 | Received 20 Dec 2009, Accepted 22 Nov 2010, Published online: 18 Jan 2017

Keep up to date with the latest research on this topic with citation updates for this article.

Read on this site (3)

Mingjun Deng, Shihu Zhong & Guocheng Xiang. (2019) Carbon emission reduction effect of China’s final demand structure change from 2013 to 2020: a scenario-based analysis. Carbon Management 10:4, pages 387-404.
Read now
Xuemei Jiang & Christopher Green. (2018) China’s future emission reduction challenge and implications for global climate policy. Climate Policy 18:7, pages 889-901.
Read now
Michael R Raupach. (2011) What do current emissions pathways imply for future climate targets?. Carbon Management 2:6, pages 625-627.
Read now

Articles from other publishers (48)

George Chappelle, Alan Hastings & Martin Rasmussen. (2023) Pool dynamics of time-dependent compartmental systems with application to the terrestrial carbon cycle. Journal of The Royal Society Interface 20:200.
Crossref
Richard Nair, Martin Strube, Martin Hertel, Olaf Kolle, Victor Rolo & Mirco Migliavacca. (2023) High frequency root dynamics: sampling and interpretation using replicated robotic minirhizotrons. Journal of Experimental Botany 74:3, pages 769-786.
Crossref
Chong-Yuan Wu, Xiao-Ye Zhang, Li-Feng Guo, Jun-Ting Zhong, De-Ying Wang, Chang-Hong Miao, Xiang Gao & Xi-Liang Zhang. (2023) An inversion model based on GEOS-Chem for estimating global and China's terrestrial carbon fluxes in 2019. Advances in Climate Change Research 14:1, pages 49-61.
Crossref
Myles R. Allen, Pierre Friedlingstein, Cécile A.J. GirardinStuart Jenkins, Yadvinder Malhi, Eli Mitchell-LarsonGlen P. Peters & Lavanya Rajamani. (2022) Net Zero: Science, Origins, and Implications. Annual Review of Environment and Resources 47:1, pages 849-887.
Crossref
Naveen Chandra, Prabir K. Patra, Yousuke Niwa, Akihiko Ito, Yosuke Iida, Daisuke Goto, Shinji Morimoto, Masayuki Kondo, Masayuki Takigawa, Tomohiro Hajima & Michio Watanabe. (2022) Estimated regional CO 2 flux and uncertainty based on an ensemble of atmospheric CO 2 inversions . Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 22:14, pages 9215-9243.
Crossref
Andrea Storto, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Eric Boisseson, Benjamin S. Giese, Simona Masina & Chunxue Yang. (2021) The 20th century global warming signature on the ocean at global and basin scales as depicted from historical reanalyses. International Journal of Climatology 41:13, pages 5977-5997.
Crossref
Chen Liang, Yan Ding, Yi Yue, Xiao-Ya Zhang, Ming-Hua Song, Jun-Qin Gao & Fei-Hai Yu. (2021) Litter affects CO2 emission from alpine wetland soils experiencing drying-rewetting cycles with different intensities and frequencies. CATENA 198, pages 105025.
Crossref
Christopher A. Williams, Huan Gu & Tong Jiao. (2021) Climate impacts of U.S. forest loss span net warming to net cooling. Science Advances 7:7.
Crossref
Lynsay Spafford & Andrew H MacDougall. (2020) Quantifying the probability distribution function of the transient climate response to cumulative CO 2 emissions . Environmental Research Letters 15:3, pages 034044.
Crossref
Chris D. Jones, Thomas L. Frölicher, Charles Koven, Andrew H. MacDougall, H. Damon Matthews, Kirsten Zickfeld, Joeri Rogelj, Katarzyna B. Tokarska, Nathan P. Gillett, Tatiana Ilyina, Malte Meinshausen, Nadine Mengis, Roland Séférian, Michael Eby & Friedrich A. Burger. (2019) The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions. Geoscientific Model Development 12:10, pages 4375-4385.
Crossref
Jiqun Wen, Xiaowei Chuai, Shanchi Li, Song Song, Yuanwei Li, Mengjie Wang & Shuosheng Wu. (2019) Spatial Heterogeneity of the Carbon Emission Effect Resulting from Urban Expansion among Three Coastal Agglomerations in China. Sustainability 11:17, pages 4590.
Crossref
Cameron M. O'Neill, Andrew McC. Hogg, Michael J. Ellwood, Stephen M. Eggins & Bradley N. Opdyke. (2019) The [simple carbon project] model v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development 12:4, pages 1541-1572.
Crossref
MJU Khan, AKMS Islam, MK Das, K Mohammed, SK Bala & GMT Islam. (2019) Observed trends in climate extremes over Bangladesh from 1981 to 2010. Climate Research 77:1, pages 45-61.
Crossref
Steven J. Lade, Jon Norberg, John M. Anderies, Christian Beer, Sarah E. Cornell, Jonathan F. Donges, Ingo Fetzer, Thomas Gasser, Katherine Richardson, Johan Rockström & Will Steffen. (2019) Potential feedbacks between loss of biosphere integrity and climate change. Global Sustainability 2.
Crossref
T. Gasser, M. Kechiar, P. Ciais, E. J. Burke, T. Kleinen, D. Zhu, Y. Huang, A. Ekici & M. Obersteiner. (2018) Path-dependent reductions in CO2 emission budgets caused by permafrost carbon release. Nature Geoscience 11:11, pages 830-835.
Crossref
H Damon Matthews, Kirsten Zickfeld, Reto Knutti & Myles R Allen. (2018) Focus on cumulative emissions, global carbon budgets and the implications for climate mitigation targets. Environmental Research Letters 13:1, pages 010201.
Crossref
Liese Coulter. 2018. Communicating Climate Change Information for Decision-Making. Communicating Climate Change Information for Decision-Making 91 103 .
Pengyan Zhang, Jianjian He, Xin Hong, Wei Zhang, Chengzhe Qin, Bo Pang, Yanyan Li & Yu Liu. (2017) Regional-Level Carbon Emissions Modelling and Scenario Analysis: A STIRPAT Case Study in Henan Province, China. Sustainability 9:12, pages 2342.
Crossref
Reto Knutti, Maria A. A. Rugenstein & Gabriele C. Hegerl. (2017) Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity. Nature Geoscience 10:10, pages 727-736.
Crossref
Stephan Lewandowsky, Mark C. Freeman & Michael E. Mann. (2017) Harnessing the uncertainty monster: Putting quantitative constraints on the intergenerational social discount rate. Global and Planetary Change 156, pages 155-166.
Crossref
Florian Kitz, Katharina Gerdel, Albin Hammerle, Tamara Laterza, Felix M. Spielmann & Georg Wohlfahrt. (2017) In situ soil COS exchange of a temperate mountain grassland under simulated drought. Oecologia 183:3, pages 851-860.
Crossref
Thomas Gasser, Philippe Ciais, Olivier Boucher, Yann Quilcaille, Maxime Tortora, Laurent Bopp & Didier Hauglustaine. (2017) The compact Earth system model OSCAR v2.2: description and first results. Geoscientific Model Development 10:1, pages 271-319.
Crossref
Andrew Glikson. (2016) Cenozoic mean greenhouse gases and temperature changes with reference to the Anthropocene. Global Change Biology 22:12, pages 3843-3858.
Crossref
Martin Rasmussen, Alan Hastings, Matthew J. Smith, Folashade B. Agusto, Benito M. Chen-Charpentier, Forrest M. Hoffman, Jiang Jiang, Katherine E. O. Todd-Brown, Ying Wang, Ying-Ping Wang & Yiqi Luo. (2016) Transit times and mean ages for nonautonomous and autonomous compartmental systems. Journal of Mathematical Biology 73:6-7, pages 1379-1398.
Crossref
Heinz Schandl, Steve Hatfield-Dodds, Thomas Wiedmann, Arne Geschke, Yiyong Cai, James West, David Newth, Tim Baynes, Manfred Lenzen & Anne Owen. (2016) Decoupling global environmental pressure and economic growth: scenarios for energy use, materials use and carbon emissions. Journal of Cleaner Production 132, pages 45-56.
Crossref
C T Simmons & H D Matthews. (2016) Assessing the implications of human land-use change for the transient climate response to cumulative carbon emissions. Environmental Research Letters 11:3, pages 035001.
Crossref
Ben R. Newell, Arthur Kary, Chris Moore & Cleotilde Gonzalez. (2016) Managing the Budget: Stock-Flow Reasoning and the CO 2 Accumulation Problem . Topics in Cognitive Science 8:1, pages 138-159.
Crossref
Anna LoPresti, Allison Charland, Dawn Woodard, James Randerson, Noah S Diffenbaugh & Steven J Davis. (2015) Rate and velocity of climate change caused by cumulative carbon emissions. Environmental Research Letters 10:9, pages 095001.
Crossref
Thomas L Frölicher & David J Paynter. (2015) Extending the relationship between global warming and cumulative carbon emissions to multi-millennial timescales. Environmental Research Letters 10:7, pages 075002.
Crossref
Christopher Dean, Jamie B. Kirkpatrick, Richard J. Harper & David J. Eldridge. (2015) Optimising carbon sequestration in arid and semiarid rangelands. Ecological Engineering 74, pages 148-163.
Crossref
Veerasamy Sejian, Iqbal Hyder, T. Ezeji, J. Lakritz, Raghavendra Bhatta, J. P. Ravindra, Cadaba S. Prasad & Rattan Lal. 2015. Climate Change Impact on Livestock: Adaptation and Mitigation. Climate Change Impact on Livestock: Adaptation and Mitigation 141 169 .
Matthias Jonas, Gregg Marland, Volker Krey, Fabian Wagner & Zbigniew Nahorski. 2015. Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories. Uncertainties in Greenhouse Gas Inventories 9 26 .
H Damon Matthews. (2014) A growing commitment to future CO 2 emissions . Environmental Research Letters 9:11, pages 111001.
Crossref
P. Friedlingstein, R. M. Andrew, J. Rogelj, G. P. Peters, J. G. Canadell, R. Knutti, G. Luderer, M. R. Raupach, M. Schaeffer, D. P. van Vuuren & C. Le Quéré. (2014) Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience 7:10, pages 709-715.
Crossref
Michael R. Raupach, Steven J. Davis, Glen P. Peters, Robbie M. Andrew, Josep G. Canadell, Philippe Ciais, Pierre Friedlingstein, Frank Jotzo, Detlef P. van Vuuren & Corinne Le Quéré. (2014) Sharing a quota on cumulative carbon emissions. Nature Climate Change 4:10, pages 873-879.
Crossref
M. R. Raupach, M. Gloor, J. L. Sarmiento, J. G. Canadell, T. L. Frölicher, T. Gasser, R. A. Houghton, C. Le Quéré & C. M. Trudinger. (2014) The declining uptake rate of atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> by land and ocean sinks. Biogeosciences 11:13, pages 3453-3475.
Crossref
Matthias Jonas, Gregg Marland, Volker Krey, Fabian Wagner & Zbigniew Nahorski. (2014) Uncertainty in an emissions-constrained world. Climatic Change 124:3, pages 459-476.
Crossref
Tomohiro Hajima, Kaoru Tachiiri, Akihiko Ito & Michio Kawamiya. (2014) Uncertainty of Concentration–Terrestrial Carbon Feedback in Earth System Models*. Journal of Climate 27:9, pages 3425-3445.
Crossref
Stephan Lewandowsky, James S. Risbey, Michael Smithson & Ben R. Newell. (2014) Scientific uncertainty and climate change: Part II. Uncertainty and mitigation. Climatic Change 124:1-2, pages 39-52.
Crossref
Stephan Lewandowsky, James S. Risbey, Michael Smithson, Ben R. Newell & John Hunter. (2014) Scientific uncertainty and climate change: Part I. Uncertainty and unabated emissions. Climatic Change 124:1-2, pages 21-37.
Crossref
Céline Guivarch & Stéphane Hallegatte. (2013) 2C or not 2C?. Global Environmental Change 23:1, pages 179-192.
Crossref
M. R. Raupach. (2013) The exponential eigenmodes of the carbon-climate system, and their implications for ratios of responses to forcings. Earth System Dynamics 4:1, pages 31-49.
Crossref
M. R. Raupach. 2013. Ecosystem Services and Carbon Sequestration in the Biosphere. Ecosystem Services and Carbon Sequestration in the Biosphere 155 181 .
Rattan Lal, Klaus Lorenz, Reinhard F. Hüttl, Bernd Uwe Schneider & Joachim von Braun. 2013. Ecosystem Services and Carbon Sequestration in the Biosphere. Ecosystem Services and Carbon Sequestration in the Biosphere 431 455 .
Robert Scealy, David Newth, Don Gunasekera & John Finnigan. (2012) Effects of Variation in the Grains Sector Response to Climate Change: An Integrated Assessment*. Economic Papers: A journal of applied economics and policy 31:3, pages 327-336.
Crossref
R. J. Andres, T. A. Boden, F.-M. Bréon, P. Ciais, S. Davis, D. Erickson, J. S. Gregg, A. Jacobson, G. Marland, J. Miller, T. Oda, J. G. J. Olivier, M. R. Raupach, P. Rayner & K. Treanton. (2012) A synthesis of carbon dioxide emissions from fossil-fuel combustion. Biogeosciences 9:5, pages 1845-1871.
Crossref
Fabio Boschetti. (2012) A computational model of a mental model used to reason about climate change. Environmental Science & Policy 15:1, pages 125-135.
Crossref
P. Friedlingstein, S. Solomon, G-K. Plattner, R. Knutti, P. Ciais & M. R. Raupach. (2011) Long-term climate implications of twenty-first century options for carbon dioxide emission mitigation. Nature Climate Change 1:9, pages 457-461.
Crossref