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Infection and Drug Resistance Volume 14, 2021 - Issue
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Original Research

Time Series Analysis and Forecasting of the Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease Morbidity in China Using An Advanced Exponential Smoothing State Space TBATS Model

Chongchong Yu1 Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan Province, People’s Republic of China
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Chunjie Xu2 Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, People’s Republic of China
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Yuhong Li3 National Center for Tuberculosis Control and Prevention, China Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, People’s Republic of China
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Sanqiao Yao1 Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan Province, People’s Republic of China
,
Yichun Bai1 Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan Province, People’s Republic of ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0998-8441
ORCID Icon,
Jizhen Li1 Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan Province, People’s Republic of China
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Lei Wang4 Center for Musculoskeletal Surgery, Charité–Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Corporate Member of Freie Universität Berlin, Humboldt–Universität Zu Berlin and Berlin Institute of Health, Berlin, Germany
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Weidong Wu1 Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan Province, People’s Republic of ChinaORCID Iconhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7334-8679
ORCID Icon &
Yongbin Wang1 Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Xinxiang Medical University, Xinxiang, Henan Province, People’s Republic of ChinaCorrespondence[email protected]
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Pages 2809-2821 | Published online: 21 Jul 2021

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Yuhan Xiao, Yanyan Li, Yuhong Li, Chongchong Yu, Yichun Bai, Lei Wang & Yongbin Wang. (2021) Estimating the Long-Term Epidemiological Trends and Seasonality of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in China. Infection and Drug Resistance 14, pages 3849-3862.
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Daren Zhao, Huiwu Zhang, Ruihua Zhang & Sizhang He. (2023) Research on hand, foot and mouth disease incidence forecasting using hybrid model in mainland China. BMC Public Health 23:1.
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Daren Zhao & Huiwu Zhang. (2022) The research on TBATS and ELM models for prediction of human brucellosis cases in mainland China: a time series study. BMC Infectious Diseases 22:1.
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Yuanzhe Wu, Tingwei Wang, Mingyi Zhao, Shumin Dong, Shiwen Wang & Jingcheng Shi. (2022) Spatiotemporal cluster patterns of hand, foot, and mouth disease at the province level in mainland China, 2011–2018. PLOS ONE 17:8, pages e0270061.
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Cristiana Tudor. (2022) A Novel Approach to Modeling and Forecasting Cancer Incidence and Mortality Rates through Web Queries and Automated Forecasting Algorithms: Evidence from Romania. Biology 11:6, pages 857.
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