Abstract
Objective: International guidelines recommend hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance with ultrasound in high-risk patients with chronic liver diseases. However, there is low-strength evidence about the effects on mortality. The aim of our study was to assess the impact of surveillance on the clinical course and survival of HCC patients seen at a tertiary referral center in Germany.
Material and methods: We retrospectively evaluated the data of 401 HCC patients, who presented to our clinic between 1997 and 2015. Two groups were compared regarding patient and disease outcomes: one group included patients who received at least two ultrasound examinations for surveillance purposes prior to first diagnosis (n = 111). The other group consisted of patients with HCC at first presentation without foregoing HCC surveillance (n = 290).
Results: Median follow-up in the surveillance group was 76 months (range 4–310 months). Patients in the surveillance group had smaller median tumor sizes (3.5 cm vs. 4.5 cm; p < .001), fulfilled more often Milan criteria (64% vs. 42%; p < .001) and received more often liver transplantation (27% vs. 9%, p < .001) when compared with the non-surveillance group. However, HCC surveillance was not associated with an improved survival (14 months in the surveillance group vs. 12 months in the non-surveillance group, p = .375), hazard ratio regarding overall mortality for the surveillance group: 0.80 (95% CI: 0.62–1.04, p = .09).
Conclusions: HCC surveillance with ultrasound led to the detection of earlier disease stages but was not significantly associated with improved survival. Further prospective and long-term studies are needed to clarify benefits and harms of HCC surveillance programs on mortality.
Disclosure statement
There is no commercial affiliation or consultancy of any author that could be construed as a conflict of interest with respect to the submitted data. There is also no potential personal conflict of interest of any author.