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Science & Global Security
The Technical Basis for Arms Control, Disarmament, and Nonproliferation Initiatives
Volume 27, 2019 - Issue 1
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Original Articles

Neutrino-Based Tools for Nuclear Verification and Diplomacy in North Korea

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Pages 15-28 | Received 19 Dec 2018, Accepted 06 Mar 2019, Published online: 05 Jun 2019
 

Abstract

We present neutrino-based options for verifying that the nuclear reactors at North Korea’s Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center are no longer operating or that they are operating in an agreed manner, precluding weapons production. Neutrino detectors may be a mutually agreeable complement to traditional verification protocols because they do not require access inside reactor buildings, could be installed collaboratively, and provide persistent and specific observations. At Yongbyon, neutrino detectors could passively verify reactor shutdowns or monitor power levels and plutonium contents, all from outside the reactor buildings. The monitoring options presented here build on recent successes in basic particle physics. Following a dedicated design study, these tools could be deployed in as little as one year at a reasonable cost. In North Korea, cooperative deployment of neutrino detectors could help redirect a limited number of scientists and engineers from military applications to peaceful technical work in an international community. Opportunities for scientific collaboration with South Korea are especially strong. We encourage policymakers to consider collaborative neutrino projects within a broader program of action toward stability and security on the Korean Peninsula.

Notes

Notes

1 The distinction between electric power, denoted by a subscript e, and thermal power, denoted by a subscript th, is important because neutrino emissions are proportional to thermal power. We refer to the 5 MWe reactor by that name because it is the more commonly used label.

2 D. Albright and K. O’Neill, Solving the North Korean Nuclear Puzzle (ISIS Press, 2000).

3 S. S. Hecker, “A Return Trip to North Korea’s Yongbyon Nuclear Complex,” Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University, November 2010, https://nautilus.org/napsnet/napsnet-special-reports/a-return-trip-to-north-koreas-yongbyon-nuclear-complex/.

4 K. K. R. Lai, W. J. Broad, and D. E. Sanger, “North Korea Is Firing up a Reactor That Could Upset Trump's Talks with Kim,” New York Times, 27 March 2018, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/03/27/world/asia/north-korea-nuclear.html.

5 Albright and O'Neill, “Solving the North Korean Nuclear Puzzle; U.S. nuclear expert hails N.K. offer to close Yongbyon nuke complex as remarkable,” Yonhap News Agency, 27 September 2018, http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/news/2018/09/27/0200000000AEN20180927010400315.html.

6 DPRK and ROK, “Pyongyang Joint Declaration of September 2018,” 19 September 2018, https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2018/09/103_255848.html.

7 U.S. Department of State, “On the Outcome of Summit Meeting between President Moon and Chairman Kim,” 19 September 2018, https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/19/pompeo-says-north-korea-nuclear-talks-must-be-done-by-january-2021.html.

8 Yonhap News Agency. “U.S. nuclear expert hails N.K. offer to close Yongbyon nuke complex as remarkable.” 27 September 2018.

9 A. A. Borovoi, and L. A. Mikaelyan, “Possibilities of the Practical Use of Neutrinos,” Soviet Atomic Energy 44 (1978): 589.

10 E. Christensen, P. Huber, and P. Jaffke, “Antineutrino Reactor Monitoring—a Case Study,” Science and Global Security, 23 (2015): 20. arXiv: 1312.1959.

11 Specifically, an antineutrino of the electron flavor. This is the only type of neutrino produced in reactors.

12 W. Maneschg, “The Status of CONUS” (XXVIII International Conference on Neutrino Physics and Astrophysics. DOI:10.5281/zenodo.1286927, 2018)

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17 Y. Abe et al., “Indication of Reactor ν¯e Disappearance in the Double Chooz Experiment,” Physical Review Letters 108 (2012): 131801. arXiv: 1112.6353 [hep-ex].

18 F. P. An et al., “Evolution of the Reactor Antineutrino Flux and Spectrum at Daya Bay,” Physical Review Letters 118 (2017): 251801. arXiv: 1704.01082 [hep-ex]; G. Bak et al., “Fuel-composition dependent reactor antineutrino yield and spectrum at RENO,” 2018. arXiv: 1806.00574 [hep-ex].

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24 G. Boireau et al., “Online Monitoring of the Osiris Reactor with the Nucifer Neutrino Detector,” Physical Review D93 (2016): 112006. arXiv: 1509.05610 [physics.ins-det].

25 Abe et al., “Indication of Reactor ν¯e Disappearance in the Double Chooz Experiment.”

26 An et al., “Observation of Electron-Antineutrino Disappearance at Daya Bay.”

27 Ahn et al., “Observation of Reactor Electron Antineutrino Disappearance in the RENO Experiment.”

28 J. Ashenfelter et al., “First Search for Short-Baseline Neutrino Oscillations at HFIR with PROSPECT,” Physical review letters 121 (2018): 251802. arXiv: 1806. 02784 [hep-ex].

29 Y. J. Ko et al., “Sterile Neutrino Search at the NEOS Experiment,” Physical Review Letters 118 (2017): 121802, no. arXiv: 1610.05134 [hep-ex].

30 I. Alekseev et al., “Search for Sterile Neutrinos at the DANSS Experiment,” Physics Letters B 787 (2018): 56-63. arXiv: 1804.04046 [hep-ex].

31 A. Haghighat et al., “Observation of Reactor Antineutrinos with a Rapidly-Deployable Surface-Level Detector,” 2018. arXiv: 1812.02163 [physics.ins-det].

32 A.P. Serebrov et al., “The First Observation of Effect of Oscillation in Neutrino-4 Experiment on Search for Sterile Neutrino,” 2018. arXiv: 1809.10561 [hep-ex].

33 H. Almazan, et al., “Sterile Neutrino Constraints from the STEREO Experiment with 66 Days of Reactor-On Data,” Physical Review Letters 121 (2018): 161801. arXiv: 1806.02096 [hep-ex].

34 N. van Remortel, “Commissioning and Calibration of the SoLid Experiment" (XXVIII International Conference on Neutrino Physics and Astrophysics, 4–9, June 2018, Heidelberg. DOI:10.5281/zenodo.1287001, 2018).

35 J. Carroll et al., “Monitoring Reactor Anti-Neutrinos Using a Plastic Scintillator Detector in a Mobile Laboratory," 2018. arXiv: 1811.01006 [physics.ins-det].

36 J. C. Anjos et al., “Using Neutrinos to Monitor Nuclear Reactors: The Angra Neutrino Experiment, Simulation and Detector Status,” Nuclear and Particle Physics Proceedings 267–269. (2015): 108–15.

37 Y. Kuroda et al., “A Mobile Antineutrino Detector with Plastic Scintillators,” Nuclear Instrumentation Methods A690. (2012): 41–7. arXiv: 1206.6566 [physics.ins-det].

38 D. Mulmule et al., “A Plastic Scintillator Array for Reactor Based Anti-Neutrino Studies,” Nuclear Instrumentation Methods A911(2018): 104–14. arXiv: 1806.04421 [physics.ins-det].

39 Christensen, Huber, and Jaffke, “Antineutrino Reactor Monitoring—A Case Study.”

40 Hecker, A Return Trip to North Korea's Yongbyon Nuclear Complex.

41 D. Albright, “North Korean Plutonium and Weapon-Grade Uranium Inventories," October 2015, http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/category/korean-peninsula/#2017.

42 An et al., “Evolution of the Reactor Antineutrino Flux and Spectrum at Daya Bay”; Bak et al., “Fuel-Composition Dependent Reactor Antineutrino Yield and Spectrum at RENO.”

43 Christensen et al., “Antineutrino Monitoring for Heavy Water Reactors"; Christensen, Huber, and Jaffke, “Antineutrino Reactor Monitoring—A Case Study.”

44 Christensen, Huber, and Jaffke, “Antineutrino Reactor Monitoring—A Case Study.”

45 Reactor neutrinos have been observed from distances exceeding 100km in the world's largest operating liquid scintillator detector, the 1-kiloton KamLAND located 1 km underground (Eguchi et al., “First Results from KamLAND: Evidence for Reactor anti-Neutrino Disappearance"). Note that this detector is roughly 30 times larger than the largest option we consider for Yongbyon. Over long observation times, faint reactor neutrino signals have been detected from as far as 1000 km in the 300- ton, very low-background borexino detector located 1.4 km underground (G. Bellini et al., “Observation of Geo-Neutrinos,” Physical Letters, B687(2010): 299–304. arXiv: 1003.0284 [hep-ex]).

46 An et al., “Observation of Electron-Antineutrino Disappearance at Daya Bay.”

47 Ahn et al., “Observation of Reactor Electron Antineutrino Disappearance in the RENO Experiment."

48 Abe et al., “Indication of Reactor ν¯e Disappearance in the Double Chooz Experiment.”

49 Steve Fetter et al., “Fissile Materials and Weapon Design,”Science and Global Security 1 (1990): 225–302.

50 F. Reines, The Neutrino: From Poltergeist to Particle, Nobel Lecture, 1995.

51 A. F. Woolf, “Nonproliferation and Threat Reduction Assistance: U.S. Programs in the Former Soviet Union,” Congressional Research Service, 2012.

53 Ahn et al., “Observation of Reactor Electron Antineutrino Disappearance in the RENO Experiment.”

54 Ko et al., “Sterile Neutrino Search at the NEOS Experiment.”

55 H. Bhang et al., “AMoRE Experiment: A Search for Neutrinoless Double Beta Decay of Mo-100 Isotope with Ca-40 MoO-100(4) Cryogenic Scintillation Detector,” Journal of Physics: Conference Series 375 (2012): 042023.

56 K. Abe et al., “Hyper-Kamiokande Design Report,” 2018. arXiv: 1805.04163 [physics.ins-det]; K. Abe et al., “Physics potentials with the second Hyper-Kamiokande detector in Korea," Progress of Theoretical and Experimental Physics, 6(2018): 063C01, arXiv: 1611.06118 [hep-ex].

57 Ashenfelter et al., “First Search for Short-baseline Neutrino Oscillations at HFIR with PROSPECT.”

58 An et al., “Observation of Electron-antineutrino Disappearance at Daya Bay.”

59 T. M. Willig, C. Futsaether, and H. Kippe, “Converting the Iranian Heavy Water Reactor IR-40 to a More Proliferation- Resistant Reactor,” Science and Global Security, 20 (2012): 97–116.

60 Christensen, Huber, and Jaffke, “Antineutrino Reactor Monitoring—A Case Study.”

61 Christensen et al., “Antineutrino Monitoring for Heavy Water Reactors.”

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