Medical and social determinants of health as predictors of adverse outcomes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease

Abstract

There is a growing recognition that social determinants of health (SDOH) influence outcomes in patients with chronic diseases. This study aimed to investigate the influence of SDOH on outcomes in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with IBD from 1996 to 2019. Patients were identified using ICD-10 codes for ulcerative colitis and Crohn’s disease, and chart review was performed to validate the diagnosis and extract clinical information. SDOH factors including food security, financial resources, and transportation were self-reported by the patient. Random forest models were trained and tested in R to predict either IBD-related hospitalization or surgery. A total of 175 patients were studied, and the majority reported no financial resource, food security, or transportation concerns. For the model using clinical predictors, the sensitivity was 0.68 and specificity was 0.77 with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.77. The model’s performance did not significantly improve with the addition of SDOH information (AUROC of 0.78); however, model performance did vary by phenotype (AUROC of 0.86 for patients with Crohn’s disease and AUROC of 0.68 for patients with ulcerative colitis). Further research is needed to understand the role of SDOH factors and IBD-related outcomes.

Keywords:

• Crohn’s disease
• inflammatory bowel disease
• social determinants of health
• ulcerative colitis

Disclosure statement/Funding

The authors report no funding or conflicts of interest. The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, RS, upon reasonable request.