Job and worker density and transit network dynamics

Abstract

This paper proposes a general framework to explore the interaction between land use and transport systems. Hypotheses about those relationships are generated. A series of statistical tests are conducted to explain the co-development of land use and transit networks for metropolitan areas at a micro-geographic scale and to disentangle causes and effects. The specific case of Minneapolis - Saint Paul (Twin Cities) metropolitan is examined using a panel of block-level land use and stop-level transit data. The results show that the development of land use, specifically, resident workers, can lead to the increase in bus demand, and thus further induce the increase in bus supply; the co-development of bus demand and supply is simultaneous on a yearly basis.

Keywords:

• accessibility
• density
• Granger Causality
• land use
• public transport
• Twin Cities

Acknowledgements

We thank U.S Census and Metropolitan Council for making data available.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

Author statement

Manman Li: Methodology, Formal analysis, Writing- Original draft preparation; Mengying Cui: Methodology, Validation, Writing - Reviewing and Editing; David Levinson: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing - Reviewing and Editing, Supervision.

Data availability statement

The data that support the findings of this study are openly available in https://lehd.ces.census.gov/data/#lodes.html; https://gisdata.mn.gov/dataset/us-mn-state-metc-trans-stop-boardings-alightings.

Additional information

Funding

This work is supported by China Scholarship Council and The School of Civil Engineering, The University of Sydney. Financial support for this research was provided by China Scholarship Council.