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Population Studies
A Journal of Demography
Volume 77, 2023 - Issue 3
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Research Article

The impact of Covid-19 on demographic components in Spain, 2020–31: A scenario approach

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Pages 497-513 | Received 15 Sep 2021, Accepted 17 May 2022, Published online: 15 Nov 2022

Figures & data

Figure 1 (a) Total fertility and (b) life expectancy at birth in Spain: observed 2000–20 and projected to 2030 according to five scenarios

Notes: The projection of demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.

Source: INE and authors’ projections.

Figure 1 (a) Total fertility and (b) life expectancy at birth in Spain: observed 2000–20 and projected to 2030 according to five scenariosNotes: The projection of demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.Source: INE and authors’ projections.

Figure 2 (a) Emigration and (b) immigration in Spain: observed 2000–20 and projected to 2030 according to five scenarios

Notes: The projection of demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection. Two sources of observed migration counts were included in the charts (Residential Variation Statistics (EVR) and Migration Statistics (EM) (see Method section for more details)).

Source: As for .

Figure 2 (a) Emigration and (b) immigration in Spain: observed 2000–20 and projected to 2030 according to five scenariosNotes: The projection of demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection. Two sources of observed migration counts were included in the charts (Residential Variation Statistics (EVR) and Migration Statistics (EM) (see Method section for more details)).Source: As for Figure 1.

Figure 3 (a) Observed and expected (No pandemic) values of demographic components in 2020 and (b) difference between observed and expected values in 2020, Spain

Source: As for .

Figure 3 (a) Observed and expected (No pandemic) values of demographic components in 2020 and (b) difference between observed and expected values in 2020, SpainSource: As for Figure 1.

Figure 4 Immigrants, emigrants, and deaths by age and sex in Spain: observed and expected (No pandemic) in 2020

Source: As for .

Figure 4 Immigrants, emigrants, and deaths by age and sex in Spain: observed and expected (No pandemic) in 2020Source: As for Figure 1.

Figure 5 (a) Births, (b) deaths, (c) natural growth, and (d) net migration: demographic components in Spain, observed 2000–20 and projected to 2030 according to five scenarios

Notes: The projection of demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.

Source: As for .

Figure 5 (a) Births, (b) deaths, (c) natural growth, and (d) net migration: demographic components in Spain, observed 2000–20 and projected to 2030 according to five scenariosNotes: The projection of demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.Source: As for Figure 1.

Figure 6 Observed population 2000–21 (January 1) and projected to 2031 (January 1) according to five scenarios, Spain

Notes: The population projection ends on 1 January 2031, while the projection of the demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.

Source: As for .

Figure 6 Observed population 2000–21 (January 1) and projected to 2031 (January 1) according to five scenarios, SpainNotes: The population projection ends on 1 January 2031, while the projection of the demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.Source: As for Figure 1.

Figure 7 (a) Ageing Index, (b) double ageing ratio, and (c) total dependency ratio: observed 2020–21 (January 1) and projected to 2031 (January 1) according to five scenarios, Spain

Notes: The population projection ends on 1 January 2031, while the projection of the demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.

Source: As for .

Figure 7 (a) Ageing Index, (b) double ageing ratio, and (c) total dependency ratio: observed 2020–21 (January 1) and projected to 2031 (January 1) according to five scenarios, SpainNotes: The population projection ends on 1 January 2031, while the projection of the demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.Source: As for Figure 1.

Figure 8 Population pyramid on 1 January 2021 and projected to 1 January 2031 according to five scenarios, Spain

Notes: The population projection ends on 1 January 2031, while the projection of the demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.

Source: As for .

Figure 8 Population pyramid on 1 January 2021 and projected to 1 January 2031 according to five scenarios, SpainNotes: The population projection ends on 1 January 2031, while the projection of the demographic components ends on 31 December 2030. The INE projection category corresponds to the medium scenario of the 2020 projection.Source: As for Figure 1.
Supplemental material

Supplementary Material

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