Towards a theory of fragile state transitions: evidence from Yemen, Bangladesh and Laos

Figures & data

Table 1. Typology of cases.

Type 1 –Fragility trap	Type 2 –Exit	Type 3 –In/out of fragility
Afghanistan	Algeria	Cameroon
Pakistan	Bangladesh	Guinea
Angola	Benin	Guinea Bissau
Ethiopia	Cambodia	Iran
Sudan	Guatemala	Laos
Yemen	Malawi	Mali
DRC	Mozambique	Mauritania
Somalia		Rwanda
Burundi		Senegal

Table 2. ALC characteristics of country types.

	A	L	C
Type 1: Trapped	6.56 (+)	6.42 (+)	6.14 (+)
Mean (A>L>C)	1.21	0.59	0.43
Standard deviation (A>L>C)
Type 2: Exit	5.45 (-)	5.58 (-)	5.82 (+)
Mean (A<L<C)	0.97	0.75	0.64
Standard deviation (A>L>C)
Type 3: In/out	5.34 (+)	5.79 (+)	6.03 (+)
Mean (A<L<C)	0.97	0.75	0.63
Standard deviation (A>L>C)

Note:

‘+’ means deteriorating; ‘-’ means improving.

Source: Authors’ calculations based on countries from Table 1.

Figure 1. Yemen, fragility and ALC, 1980–2012.

Figure 2. Bangladesh, fragility and ALC, 1980–2012.

Figure 3. Laos, fragility and ALC, 1980–2012.