The period effects of crisis and recovery on life course and residential mobility of owner-occupants

Figures & data

Figure 1. Average marginal effects of period (2012–2014 versus 2014–2016) on residential mobility outcomes in relation to partnership, children and employment status, based on model 2. Only significant AMEs are shown with 95% confidence intervals (N = 1,394,636).

Source: SSD, Statistics Netherlands, own calculations.

Table 1. Probability of a move by life course (partnership, children and employment) and period: marginal effects of period and differences in period effects across three household variables (N = 1,394,636).

		period	period	Period difference
	NOT MOVED	2012–2014	2014–2016	(AME of period)	Contrast
	all	0.952	0.938	−0.014***
a	single	0.966	0.958	−0.008***	b, c, d, e
b	couple	0.970	0.956	−0.014***	a, c, d
c	new couple	0.707	0.659	−0.048***	a, b, d, e
d	new single	0.664	0.631	−0.033***	a, b, c
e	other	0.721	0.700	−0.021**	a, c
a	no children	0.956	0.944	−0.012***	b, c, d
b	children (stable)	0.966	0.952	−0.014***	a, c, d
c	first child	0.874	0.844	−0.030***	a, b, e
d	extra child(ren)	0.924	0.891	−0.033***	a, b, e
e	fewer children	0.915	0.902	−0.014***	c, d
a	employed	0.953	0.936	−0.016***	b, c, d, e, f, g
b	on benefits	0.928	0.918	−0.010**	a, e, f, g
c	pensioned	0.966	0.957	−0.009***	a, e, f, g
d	unemployed > employed	0.923	0.920	−0.003	a, f
e	employed > unemployed	0.893	0.899	0.006	a, b, c, f
f	change of employer	0.929	0.905	−0.023***	a, b, c, d, e, g
g	other	0.938	0.937	−0.000	a, b, c, f
	MOVED TO	Period	Period	Period difference
	OWNER-OCCUPIED	2012–2014	2014–2016	(AME of period)	Contrast
	all	0.028	0.042	0.013***
a	single	0.015	0.022	0.007***	b, c, d, e
b	couple	0.021	0.034	0.013***	a, c, d, e
c	new couple	0.216	0.261	0.045***	a, b
d	new single	0.094	0.132	0.037***	a, b
e	other	0.159	0.193	0.034***	a, b
a	no children	0.024	0.036	0.011***	b, c, d, e
b	children (stable)	0.023	0.035	0.013***	a, c, d, e
c	first child	0.092	0.119	0.027***	a, b, e
d	extra child(ren)	0.057	0.090	0.033***	a, b, e
e	fewer children	0.039	0.056	0.017***	a, b, c, d
a	employed	0.032	0.047	0.015***	b, c, d, e, f, g
b	on benefits	0.017	0.027	0.010***	a, d, f, g
c	pensioned	0.014	0.022	0.008***	a, d, f, g
d	unemployed > employed	0.034	0.028	−0.006	a, b, c, e, f
e	employed > unemployed	0.026	0.033	0.008**	a, d, f
f	change of employer	0.044	0.065	0.021***	a, b, c, d, e, g
g	other	0.038	0.039	0.001	a, b, c, f
	MOVED TO RENTAL	Period	Period	Period difference
		2012–2014	2014–2016	(AME of period)	Contrast
	all	0.019	0.020	0.001***	n/a
a	single	0.019	0.020	0.001	e
b	couple	0.008	0.009	0.001***	e
c	new couple	0.077	0.081	0.004	e
d	new single	0.242	0.237	−0.005	–
e	other	0.120	0.107	−0.013**	a, b, c
a	no children	0.020	0.021	0.001**	e
b	children (stable)	0.012	0.013	0.002***	e
c	first child	0.034	0.037	0.003	e
d	extra child(ren)	0.019	0.020	0.000	e
e	fewer children	0.046	0.043	−0.003**	a, b, c, d
a	employed	0.016	0.017	0.001***	e, g
b	on benefits	0.055	0.055	0.000	e
c	pensioned	0.020	0.020	0.000	e
d	unemployed > employed	0.044	0.052	0.009	e, g
e	employed > unemployed	0.081	0.067	−0.014***	a, b, c, d, f, g
f	change of employer	0.028	0.030	0.002	e, g
g	other	0.025	0.023	−0.001	a, d, e, f

Notes: Contrasts column reports which period differences are significantly different across household statuses for each of the three variables (second differences) at p<.05. AMEs can differ from difference of presented period estimates due to rounding off to three decimal points. AME significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001.

Source: SSD, Statistics Netherlands, own calculations.

Figure 2. Relative average marginal effects of period (AME divided by estimate for period 2012–2014) on two mobility outcomes in relation to partnership, children and employment status, based on model 2. Only significant AMEs are shown (N = 1,394,636).

Source: SSD, Statistics Netherlands, own calculations.

Table 2. Mobility of owners in two periods (2012–2014 and 2014–2016).

	Share moved 2012–2014	Share moved 2014–2016	Relative growth of moving owners	Growth of group size
All Owners	4.6%	6.0%	29.0%	0.3%
Owners who did not move in preceding two years	4.5%	5.8%	30.3%	1.3%

Source: SSD, Statistics Netherlands, own calculations.

Table 3. Probability of a move in t₀-t₂ by life course (partnership, children and employment) in t_-2-t₀ and t₀-t₂ and period of owners who did not move in the preceding two years: marginal effects of period and differences in period effects across three household variables (N = 1,281,961).

			t0-t2 period	t0-t2 period	Period difference
	MOVED		2012–2014	2014–2016	(AME of period)	Contrast
	all		0,047	0,061	0,014***
	t-2 - t0	t0 - t2
a	single	stable	0,031	0,038	0,007***	all others
b		change in hh	0,328	0,379	0,051***	a, c, d, g, i
c	couple	stable	0,029	0,042	0,014***	a, b, d, e, f, h
d		change in hh	0,356	0,388	0,031***	a, b, c, g, i
e	new couple	stable	0,110	0,147	0,036***	a, c, g, i
f		change in hh	0,135	0,183	0,048**	a, c, g
g	new single	stable	0,068	0,085	0,017***	a, b, d, e, f, h
h		change in hh	0,260	0,313	0,054***	a, c, g, i
i	other	–	0,054	0,073	0,020***	a, b, e, f, h
	t-2 - t0	t0 - t2
a	no children	stable	0,045	0,056	0,012***	b, d, e, f, g, h
b		change in child status	0,107	0,136	0,029***	a, c, d, e, f, i, j
c	children (stable)	stable	0,036	0,048	0,013***	b, e, f, g, h
d		change in child status	0,061	0,074	0,013***	b, e, f, g, h
e	first child	stable	0,088	0,128	0,041***	all others
f		change in child status	0,090	0,131	0,042***	all others
g	additional child(ren)	stable	0,059	0,091	0,032***	a, c, d, e, f, h, i, j
h		change in child status	0,081	0,110	0,029***	a, c, d, e, f, h, i, j
i	fewer children	stable	0,039	0,051	0,012***	b, e, f, g, h, j
j		change in child status	0,052	0,066	0,014***	b, e, f, g, h, j
	t-2 - t0	t0 - t2
a	employed	stable	0,046	0,063	0,016***	b, e, f, j, k, m
b		change in status	0,068	0,074	0,006***	a, k, l
c	on benefits	stable	0,045	0,056	0,010***	f, k
d		change in status	0,052	0,061	0,009***	k
e	pensioned	stable	0,034	0,042	0,008***	a, f, k, l
f		change in status	0,087	0,082	−0,005***	a, c, e, g, i, k, l, m
g	unemployed > employed	stable	0,049	0,063	0,014***	f
h		change in status	0,073	0,091	0,018***	none
i	employed > unemployed	stable	0,072	0,087	0,015***	f
j		change in status	0,064	0,062	−0,001***	a, k, l
k	change of employer	stable	0,068	0,095	0,026***	a, b, c, d, e, f, j, l, m
l		change in status	0,080	0,095	0,015***	b, e, f, k, l
m	other	–	0,043	0,054	0,011***	a, f, k

Notes: Contrasts column reports which period differences are significantly different across household statuses for each of the three variables (second differences) at p<.05. AMEs can differ from difference of presented period estimates due to rounding off to three decimal points. AME significance: *p<.05; **p<.01; ***p<.001.

Source: SSD, Statistics Netherlands, own calculations.