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Original Articles

Macroinvertebrates on the front lines: projected community response to temperature and precipitation changes in Mediterranean streams

ORCID Icon, , &
Pages 513-528 | Received 17 Mar 2017, Accepted 25 Jun 2017, Published online: 19 Jul 2017

Figures & data

Figure 1. Map of study area: the Tajo, Júcar and Segura headwaters contained in Castilla-La Mancha Autonomous Community. Weather stations are marked with triangles, sample sites are marked with circles.

Figure 1. Map of study area: the Tajo, Júcar and Segura headwaters contained in Castilla-La Mancha Autonomous Community. Weather stations are marked with triangles, sample sites are marked with circles.

Table 1. Summary of taxa included in study and number of samples present in each watershed.

Table 2. Number of samples, mean and standard deviation of climate variables and land use/land cover (Corine Citation2000). Abbreviations are: MinT: minimum winter temperature, Appt: annual precipitation, NAO winter: average NAO index value for December–February, Asprt: average spring temperature, Msprt: maximum spring temperature.

Table 3. Full binary logistic regression model statistics for variables with significant relationships. H-L stands for Hosmer–Lemeshow. All other abbreviations are as in 2.

Table 4. Binary logistic regression coefficients for taxa (response) and climate variables (predictor) of significant regression models. When eB only is reported, it represents the odds ratios. A separate OR column (odds ratio) is reported for eB values between 0 and 1. In these cases, OR = 1/eB. All other abbreviations are as in 2.

Figure 2. Number of taxa predicted by binary logistic regression to change at each sampling site. Concentric circles indicate different responses expected in reference to separate sampling events.

Figure 2. Number of taxa predicted by binary logistic regression to change at each sampling site. Concentric circles indicate different responses expected in reference to separate sampling events.