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SUMMARY
This briefing aims to: (1) summarise the poverty debate and (2) explain differences between the estimates produced by different authors. The key points are that: (1) there has been a sharp increase in poverty since 2011 according to all consistent trend estimates; (2) the finding is robust to all reasonable assumptions about inflation and price data; and (3) the National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda’s findings do not tally with their own stated assumptions about inflation.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author.
Note on contributor
Maurice Okito is a pseudonym for the anonymous authors of a number of blog posts on roape.net that have provided vital information on the current situation in Rwanda.
Notes
1 e-Soko is, in the case of Rwanda, a project run by the Rwandan Ministry of Agriculture and Animal Resources that ‘seeks to empower farmers to enable them [to] make more informed market pricing decisions’ (e-Soko Citationn.d.). Soko means market in Kiswahili.
2 According to NISR (Citation2016, p. 42), the inflation rate used to deflate 2011 consumption to 2014 levels was 16.7% for food (weighted at .659) and 9% for non-food (weighted at .341).