Abstract
Hospital pharmacy managers make inventory decisions for thousands of different perishable drugs. Commonly, these managers do not have the resources to implement advanced mathematical models. Closed-form solutions are attractive because they provide the inventory policy quickly and are easy to implement. However, when deriving these solutions, one must consider that pharmaceutical supply chains experience disruptions. We first derive closed-form solutions for a non-perishable lost-sales (R,S) periodic review inventory system with supply chain disruptions. We then extend the solutions to incorporate perishability and apply the solutions to a hospital pharmacy inventory system. We find that (i) it is important to account for perishability and supply chain disruptions simultaneously as only accounting for supply chain disruptions increases both drug shortages [possible 65% increase] and waste [possible waste equivalent to 50% of the daily demand], (ii) it is critical to consider the duration of and time between supply chain disruptions, (iii) the expected number of shortages is insensitive to changes in the standard deviation when demand is normally distributed, but for short expiration lifetimes, the expected number wasted increases linearly as the standard deviation of demand increases, and (iv) not accurately depicting the supply chain disruption process can triple the number of shortages.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to give a special thanks to Christine Betts (University of Michigan Health Pharmacy Services) for providing access to the Fentanyl daily demand data. The research team would also like to thank the two anonymous reviewers, associate editor, and area editor for their feedback on the article.
Disclosure statement
The authors have no non-financial conflicts of interest to disclose. For financial conflicts of interest, the first author was supported by the National Science Foundation Research Fellowship Program under Grant DGE 1841052.
Data availability statement
Due to confidentiality and privacy concerns, the Fentanyl daily demand data provided by the Central Pharmacy at the University of Michigan is not publicly available.