Performance of risk-adjusted cumulative sum charts when some assumptions are not met

ABSTRACT

Monitoring health care performance outcomes such as post-operative mortality rates has recently become more common, spurring new statistical methodologies designed for this purpose. One such methodology is the Risk-adjusted Cumulative Sum chart (RA-CUSUM) for monitoring binary outcomes such as mortality after cardiac surgery. When building RA-CUSUMs, independence and model correctness are assumed. We carry out a simulation study to examine the effect of violating these two assumptions on the chart's performance.

Keywords:

• Correlated binary series
• CUSUM charts
• Logistic regression
• Monitoring adverse events
• Risk-adjustment

Mathematics Subject Classification:

• 62P10