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Articles

Externally constrained growth: Testing the applicability of Thirlwall’s law in South Africa

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Figures & data

Figure 1. South African Trade Balance from 1960 to 2009. Noted Y axis are in millions of rands.

Figure 1. South African Trade Balance from 1960 to 2009. Noted Y axis are in millions of rands.

Figure 2. Export and Output Growth Rates from 1960 to 2016.

Figure 2. Export and Output Growth Rates from 1960 to 2016.

Figure 3. Growth Rate of the Real Exchange Rate.

Figure 3. Growth Rate of the Real Exchange Rate.

Figure 4. Real Exchange rate and Output movements.

Figure 4. Real Exchange rate and Output movements.

Table 1 . Unit Root Test for stationarity.

Table 2 . South Africa – Calculations of the growth rate consistent with the growth rate of the balance of payments equilibrium.

Table 3 . South Africa – Calculations of the growth rate consistent with the growth rate of the balance of payments equilibrium adjusted for structural breaks.

Table 4 . Results of the Wald Test.

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