Household formation and service delivery in post-apartheid South Africa: Evidence from the Agincourt sub-district 1992–2012

Figures & data

Figure 1. Map of the Agincourt study site. The original villages are in the southern half of the site.

Figure 2. Aggregate household dynamics in Agincourt.

Figure 3. Aggregate household numbers by subpopulation type in Agincourt.

Table 1. Population and household dynamics in Agincourt.

	1994				2012
	Households	Proportion	Population	Household size	Households	Proportion	Population	Household size
Overall	9881	1.000	64467	6.524	14341	1.000	78713	5.489
SA in SA	6942	0.703	43586	6.279	9144	0.638	49236	5.385
Moz in SA	1954	0.198	14241	7.288	3412	0.238	20763	6.085
Refugee	985	0.100	6640	6.741	1077	0.075	6138	5.699
RDP	0	0	0		708	0.049	2576	3.638

Table 2. Decomposing change in household size in the Agincourt area 1994–2012.

	Overall	%	SA in SA vill	%	Moz in SA vill	%	Ref vill	%	RDP	%
within effect	0.035141	−3.4	−0.23159	25.9	0.584893	−48.6	0.321031	−30.8	3.861947	106.1
replacement effect	−0.22061	21.3	−0.03808	4.3	−0.35893	29.8	−1.1681	112.1	1.395414	38.4
dilution effect	−0.8502	82.1	−0.62441	69.8	−1.4288	118.8	−0.19488	18.7	−1.61894	−44.5
total change	−1.03567		−0.89408		−1.20284		−1.04195		3.638418

Table 3. Disaggregating the change in household size.

	Change in hhsize	w*(yt-y0)	Change in weight	d*(wt-w0)	Contribution to decomposition
	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	within	replacement	dilution
SA in SA	−0.894	−0.628	−0.065	0.007	−0.163	−0.027	−0.439
Moz in SA	−1.203	−0.238	0.040	0.024	0.116	−0.071	−0.283
Refugee	−1.042	−0.104	−0.025	−0.005	0.032	−0.116	−0.019
RDP	3.638	0	0.049	−0.091
Overall	−1.036	−0.970		−0.066	−0.015	−0.214	−0.741

Figure 4. Age pyramid of the RDP village in 2002.

Figure 5. Proportion of newly formed households by household type: South African households in South African villages versus households in the RDP village.

Figure 6. The evolution of household types among South Africans in South African villages and in RDP housing.