Regional integration, regional value chains and the automotive industry in Sub-Saharan Africa

Figures & data

Table 1. Estimated SSA vehicle sales (new vehicles and used imports), 2007–17.

	2007	2009	2011	2013	2015	2017	Share of new vehicles, 2017 (%)
South Africa	676108	395222	572241	650745	617749	555716	100%
Nigeria	237760	225708	364027	757215	456807	229197	11%
Kenya	78522	55511	67874	87691	132750	74519	16%
Tanzania	49236	39096	49283	62799	69325	54282	10%
Cameroon	9375	10115	20948	32402	31553	52429	7%
Cote d’Ivoire	13286	10087	10348	27734	32965	51561	14%
Ghana	30274	2083	61789	68582	45048	47969	9%
Ethiopia	11603	7904	9643	26205	42253	38965	31%
Guinea	10678	5799	11451	33815	32494	35833	28%
Uganda	21764	23763	28281	31657	30563	33346	13%
Other SSA countries	333448	309630	404515	601546	428414	327668	29%
Total SSA	1472055	1084918	1600399	2380390	1919921	1501484	49%

Sources: OICA (2017); UN Comtrade.

Table 2. Automotive imports and exports, Nigeria, Kenya and Ghana, 2007–17 (US$ million).

	2007	2009	2011	2013	2015	2017*
Nigeria
Component imports	85	707	615	239	88	97
Vehicle imports	1 692	1 604	2 164	2 826	1 206	669
Component exports	2.0	6.4	1.7	0.4	0.3	0.4
Vehicle exports	1.4	1.2	2.8	1.9	2.7	0.7
Trade balance	−1 774	−2 304	−2 775	−3 063	−1 292	−662
Kenya
Component imports	60	53	62	80	127	111
Vehicle imports	589	489	598	899	963	657
Component exports	7	4	4	3	2	2
Vehicle exports	22	46	23	30	18	4
Trade balance	−620	−491	−634	−945	−1071	−762
Ghana
Component imports	57	63	99	112	97	69
Vehicle imports	386	369	775	819	544	414
Component exports	0.4	0.6	0.8	5.6	2.6	0.6
Vehicle exports	1.5	2.5	1.8	1.8	1.4	1.3
Trade balance	−441	−428	−871	−924	−637	−481

Notes: *Data for Nigeria are for 2016.

Source: UN Comtrade.

Table 3. South African automotive exports to Africa (US$ million).

	2010	2011	2012	2013	2014	2015	2016	2017
SA exports to Africa	2 418	2 754	3 155	3 118	2 912	2 673	2 128	2 227
SA exports to SACU	1 229	1 143	987	1 274	1 388	1 285	1 134	954
SA exports to SADC excl. BLNS (Free Trade Area)	669	813	1 157	994	995	846	721	960
% SACU	51%	42%	31%	41%	48%	48%	53%	43%
% SADC	28%	30%	37%	32%	34%	32%	34%	43%
% rest of Africa	21%	29%	32%	27%	18%	20%	13%	14%
Passenger & Light vehicles	628	950	1 328	1 761	1 391	1 340	993	975
Medium & Heavy vehicles	105	105	146	280	341	306	272	270
Components	1 684	1 699	1 681	1 077	1 179	1 027	863	982

Sources: AIEC (2015, 2017); South African Revenue Service (SARS).

Figure 1. Hub and spoke model for SSA Automotive Pact development. Source: Barnes et al. (2019).

OICA, 2017. 2016 sales statistics. http://www.oica.net/category/production-statistics/2017-statistics Accessed 26 June 2018.

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AIEC (Automotive Industry Export Council), 2015. South African automotive export manual 2015. AIEC, Pretoria.

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AIEC, 2017. South African automotive export manual 2017. AIEC, Pretoria.

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Barnes, J, Erwin, A & Ismail, F, 2019. Realising the potential of the Sub-Saharan African automotive market: The importance of establishing a sub-continental Automotive Pact: A Report for Trade & Industrial Policy Strategies (TIPS) and the African Association of Automotive Manufacturers (AAAM).

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