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Research Article

Climate change and water-related threats in the Indian Sundarbans: food security and management implications

ORCID Icon, ORCID Icon & ORCID Icon
Pages 323-344 | Received 06 Feb 2023, Accepted 07 Jun 2023, Published online: 05 Jul 2023

Figures & data

Figure 1. Climate change impacts in the Indian Sundarbans: (a) trends in summer and (b) winter temperature; (c) monsoon precipitation anomalies; (d) monsoon precipitation trend (computed using CRU TS v. 4.06); (e) major weather events that impacted the Sundarbans in the period 1988–2020 (TD = tropical depression, TS = tropical storm, H1–H5: Category 1–5 cyclone based on the Saffir–Simpson scale) (computed using the information available on Sharma et al., Citation2022); and (f) maximum sustained wind speed in km/h of the major events during 1988–2020 coded as C1988–C2020 (computed using the information available on Sharma et al., Citation2022).

Figure 1. Climate change impacts in the Indian Sundarbans: (a) trends in summer and (b) winter temperature; (c) monsoon precipitation anomalies; (d) monsoon precipitation trend (computed using CRU TS v. 4.06); (e) major weather events that impacted the Sundarbans in the period 1988–2020 (TD = tropical depression, TS = tropical storm, H1–H5: Category 1–5 cyclone based on the Saffir–Simpson scale) (computed using the information available on Sharma et al., Citation2022); and (f) maximum sustained wind speed in km/h of the major events during 1988–2020 coded as C1988–C2020 (computed using the information available on Sharma et al., Citation2022).

Figure 2. Simplified diagram showing the impact pathways of climate change-induced water-related threats for food security.

Figure 2. Simplified diagram showing the impact pathways of climate change-induced water-related threats for food security.

Figure 3. Methodological flow chart.

Figure 3. Methodological flow chart.

Figure 4. Water-related threats and their impacts on the four pillars of food security (Food availability: AVAL1–AVAL9; Food access: ACCS1–ACCS4; Food utilization: UTIL1–UTIL4; and Food stability: STBL1–STBL2) under climate change in the Indian Sundarbans, and experts’ agreement (%) on these (the abbreviations are defined in the figure itself).

Figure 4. Water-related threats and their impacts on the four pillars of food security (Food availability: AVAL1–AVAL9; Food access: ACCS1–ACCS4; Food utilization: UTIL1–UTIL4; and Food stability: STBL1–STBL2) under climate change in the Indian Sundarbans, and experts’ agreement (%) on these (the abbreviations are defined in the figure itself).

Figure 5. River water salinity (ppt) in different sites of the Indian Sundarbans, February–May 2019.

Figure 5. River water salinity (ppt) in different sites of the Indian Sundarbans, February–May 2019.

Figure 6. Average salinity of the tube well water in different sites of the Indian Sundarbans, February–May 2019.

Figure 6. Average salinity of the tube well water in different sites of the Indian Sundarbans, February–May 2019.

Table 1. Strategies that attained the highest priority in the Delphi study.

Supplemental material

Supplemental Material

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