Abstract
This paper sets out to develop an improved framework for examining critical junctures. This a priori framework is a significant improvement over existing critical juncture frameworks that lack any predictive element. It is an advance for historical institutionalism in particular, and political science in general. After the new framework is set out in detail here, it is tested. The framework is used to examine a number of potential critical junctures in macroeconomic policy, drawn from Ireland, Sweden, Britain, and America in the latter half of the twentieth century.
Notes
1. Financial Times, 20 October 2006, p. 15.
2. The Irish Times, 25 June 1959.
3. Dáil Eireann, Vol. 171, 2 December 1958.
4. The Economist, 20–26 June 1970, p. 73.
5. Time International, 95(22), 1 June 1970, p. 27.
6. The Guardian, 8 June 1970, p. 10.
7. Time International, 115(24), 16 June 1980, p. 48.
8. Ibid., 116(4), 28 July 1980, p. 44.
9. The New York Times, 2 September 1980, p. 12.
10. The Washington Post, 20 November 1980, p. B1.
11. Time International, 115(24), 16 June 1980, p. 50.
12. The Economist, 28 August 1982, p. 41.
13. The New York Times, 20 September 1982, p. 3.
14. Time International, 120(38), 20 September 1982, p. 32.
15. The New York Times, 20 September 1982, p. 3.
16. Budget, 1958, p. 8.
17. The Irish Independent, 24 June 1959.
18. Dáil Eireann, Vol. 175, 3 June 1959.
19. Time International, 116(4), 28 July 1980, p. 44
20. The Washington Post, Business and Finance, 31 August 1980, p. L1.
21. Time International, 116(13), 29 September 1980, p. 17.
22. Ibid., 116(9), 28 August 1980, p. 45.
23. Ibid., 28 August 1980, p. 9.
24. Time International, 116(18), 3 November 1980, p. 17.
25. The Washington Post, 16 February 1981, p. A1.
27. Financial Times, 18 September 1982, p. 15.
28. The Washington Post, 21 September 1982, p. A15.
29. Time International, 120(38), 20 September 1982, p. 32.
30. The Washington Post, 21 September 1982, p. A15.
31. The New York Times, 20 September 1982, p. 3.
32. Ibid., 21 September 1982, p. 3.
33. Financial Times, 12 October 1982, p. 1.
34. The Washington Post, 8 October 1982, p. A16.