GIS-based landslide susceptibility model considering effective contributing area for drainage time

Abstract

This study employed GIS modelling to ascertain landslide susceptibility on Mt. Umyeon, south of Seoul, South Korea. In this study, an effective contributing area (ECA) for certain drainage time was purposed as a temporal causative factor and then used for modelling in combination with spatial causative factors such as elevation, slope, plan curvature, drainage proximity, forest type, soil type and geology. Landslide inventory map of 163 landslide locations was prepared using aerial photographic interpretation and field verifications after that digitized using GIS environment in 1:5000 scale. A presence-only-based maximum entropy model was used to establish and analyse the relationship between landslides and causative factors. Before final modelling, a jackknife test was performed to measure the variable contributions, which showed that the slope was the most significant spatial causative factor, and ECA with a drainage time of 12 h was the most significant temporal causative factor. The performances of the final models, with and without significant ECA, were assessed by plotting a receiver operating characteristic curve to be 75.5 and 81.2%, respectively.

Keywords:

• Effective contributing area
• GIS
• landslide susceptibility
• Maxent

Acknowledgements

The authors are thankful to anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments that were very useful in bringing the manuscript into its present form. This research was supported by the Public Welfare and Safety Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF), funded by the Ministry of Science, ICT, and Future Planning (grant No. 2012M3A2A1050977), a grant (13SCIPS04) from Smart Civil Infrastructure Research Program funded by Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT) of Korea Government and Korea Agency for Infrastructure Technology Advancement (KAIA) and the Brain Korea 21 Plus (BK 21 Plus).