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ABSTRACT
Risk assessments have been touted by researchers as a key component of best-practices in corrections; however, there remain issues with the inconsistent predictive validity of these tools across different offender samples. To explore this issue, this study investigated the predictive validity of a juvenile risk assessment across 33 counties in Ohio. The results indicated that while the tool was predictive at the state level, there was significant variation across the counties. Further analyses showed that the instrument could predict recidivism in counties on which it was not originally designed and that it performed significantly better in counties with higher crime rates.
Notes
Recent research has revealed that for studies that compare the relative effectiveness of a risk tool across two or more groups, it is important to understand the contribution of the individual domains in addition to the overall risk score (e.g., Andrews et al., Citation2012).
For the purpose of data reduction, findings for this research question were presented in the text only and not reported in tables.
For the purpose of data reduction, findings for this research question were presented in the text only and not reported in tables.