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Import Substitution in Russia: The Need for a System-Strategic Approach

Pages 15-40 | Published online: 23 Sep 2022
 

ABSTRACT

Russia is currently implementing a policy of import substitution. Although some positive results have been achieved (e.g., in the agricultural industry and the pharmaceutical industry), there are still significant problems with the current approach. The present article considers the successes and challenges of Russia’s current import substitution policy and offers several solutions that should facilitate significant economic growth. In particular, we argue that a systematic approach to import substitution should focus on stimulating the industrial base through government regulation and support, which is better than the present policy of maintaining a relatively unregulated domestic free market and relying on the import of foreign technology. This article reviews several arguments in favor and against this approach and concludes that under current economic conditions, the best way forward for the Russian economy involves the transition to a system-strategic approach to import substitution, which requires a reevaluation of macroeconomic policy and the rejection of certain liberal principles (e.g., rigid monetary policy, floating exchange rates, and abstaining from currency restrictions). In light of foreign experience, we argue that this model has been successfully implemented in countries that are currently technological leaders in global value chains and that this model can likewise help Russia develop its industrial base.

This article is the republished version of:
Import Substitution in Russia

Disclosure Statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

Notes

1. D. Manturov, “Nikto ne proigral ot importozameshcheniia: Interv’iu ‘FM,’” Kommersant, June 2, 2017.

2. “Ministr sel’skogo khoziaistva: Rossiia pochti vdvoe sokratila import prodovol’stviia,” Vedomosti, April 26, 2017.

3. “Syrodely vse eshche na pod’’eme, delo za molokom,” Ekspert, February 7, 2017.

4. “Ministr sel’skogo khoziaistva prognoziruet polnoe importozameshchenie cherez 5–7 let,” Vedomosti, July 5, 2017.

5. “Torzhestvo importozameshcheniia: v 2017 godu vvoz tovarov v Rossiiu uvelichilsia na chetvert’,” Novyi den’, March 13, 2017.

6. “Rossel’khozbank vmeshalsia v indiushachii vopros,” Kommersant, July 10, 2017.

7. A. Koroleva, “Promyshlennost’ poshla v rost,” Ekspert, May 19, 2017.

8. “Putin otkryl proizvodstvo korabel’nykh gazoturbinnykh dvigatelei vzamen ukrainskim,” Vedomosti, April 25, 2017.

9. Postanovlenie Pravitel’stva RF ot 27 dekabria 2012 g. No. 1432 [Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation of December 27, 2012, No. 1432].

10. “Sel’khozmashinostroeniiu dali eshche god gospodderzhki,” Ekspert Iug, 2017, no. 1 (399).

11. “Promyshlennosti obeshchany rost i gospodderzhka,” Kommersant, March 27, 2017.

12. “FAS khochet rasshirit’ dostup inostrantsev k goszakazu lekarstv,” Vedomosti, March 7, 2017.

13. “Rossiiskie proizvoditeli lekarstv podseli na subsidii,” Vedomosti, June 25, 2017.

14. N. Korolev, “Stavropol’skii Biokom vlozhit 490 mln. rublei v uvelichenie moshchnostei zavoda,” Kommersant, June 21, 2017.

15. V. Sal’nikov, “Ekonomika politiki importozameshcheniia: chego eto stoit i kakovy predvaritel’nye rezul’taty?” Presentation given at the conference “Uzly ekonomicheskoi politiki” (ANTSEA), April 20, 2017.

16. Ibid.

17. Rosstat data show the degree of depreciation of fixed assets at the end of the year by types of economic activity for a full range of organizations.

18. S. Gubanov, “Zamechaniia o sistemnykh osnovakh ekonomicheskoi bezopasnosti Rossii,” Ekonomist, 2017, no. 6.

19. V. Inozemtsev, “Ischeznuvshie istochniki rosta,” Biznes zhurnal, February 5, 2017.

20. Ibid.

21. D. Manturov, “Nikto ne proigral ot importozameshcheniia: Interv’iu ‘FM,”” Kommersant, June 2, 2017.

22. “Minpromtorg predlagaet ogranichit’ goszakupki importnoi mebeli,” Vedomosti, February 10, 2017.

23. A.V. Danilov-Danil’yan, “Protsess importozameshcheniia v ekonomike Rossii: osobennosti i mify,” Vestnik Instituta ekonomiki Rossiiskoi akademii nauk, 2016, no. 3, pp. 22–23.

24. I.V. Akindinova and E.G. Yasin, “Novyi etap razvitiia ekonomiki v postsovetskoi Rossii,” paper presented at “XVI Aprel’skaia mezhdunarodnaia nauchnaia konferentsiia po problemam razvitiia ekonomiki i obshchestva,” April 7–10, 2015 (Moscow: Izdatel’skii dom Vysshei shkoly ekonomiki, 2015), p. 33.

25. G.B. Kleiner, “Importozameshchenie kak zerkalo sovremennoi rossiiskoi ekonomiki,” Ekonomicheskoe vozrozhdenie Rossii, 2016, no. 3, p. 25.

26. A. Sidorovich, “Novaia ekonomicheskaia politika razvitiia: ot sistemnykh protivorechii k sistemnym resheniiam,” Obshchestvo i ekonomika, 2016, no. 6, p. 17.

27. O. Berezinskaia and A. Vedev, “Proizvodstvennaia zavisimost’ rossiiskoi promyshlennosti ot importa i mekhanizm strategicheskogo importozameshcheniia,” Voprosy ekonomiki, 2015, no. 1, p. 114.

28. P. Kadochnikov, A. Knobel’, and S. Sinel’nikov-Murylev, “Otkrytost’ rossiiskoi eko-nomiki kak istochnik ekonomicheskogo rosta,” Voprosy ekonomiki, 2016, no. 12, p. 36.

29. J. Weiss, “Export Growth and Industrial Policy: Lessons from the East Asian Miracle Experience,” ADB Institute Discussion Paper, 2005, no. 26.

30. “Rossiiskie eksperty sporiat ob opasnosti importozameshcheniia,” BBC Russian Service, April 21, 2017.

31. Monocrystal official site.

32. M. Zateichuk, “Chego by eto ni stoilo. Eksperty ANTsEA uvereny, chto importozameshchenie prinosit bol’she vreda, chem pol’zy,” Economy Times, April 28, 2017.

33. S.A. Tolkachev and A.Iu. Tepliakov, “Global’nye tsepochki stoimosti i natsional’naia promyshlennaia kompetentnost’,” Ekonomicheskoe vozrozhdenie Rossii, vol. 51, no. 1 (2017), pp. 63–81.

34. E.S. Karpushin, “Importozameshchenie v Rossii: rezul’taty i perspektivy razvitiia,” Peterburgskii ekonomicheskii zhurnal, 2016, no. 2, p. 29.

35. V.I. Filatov, “Importozameshchenie i formirovanie novoi modeli rosta ekonomiki Rossii,” Vestnik Instituta ekonomiki Rossiiskoi akademii nauk, 2015, no. 2, p. 8.

36. Promyshlennaia politika v usloviiakh novoi industrializatsii, ed. S.A. Tolkachev (Moscow: MAKS Press, 2015), p. 18.

37. N.N. Zudin, M.G. Kuzyk, and Iu.V. Simachev, “Zarubezhnyi opyt provedeniia politiki importozameshcheniia: na kogo ravniat’sia?” “Importozameshchenie i konkurentosposobnost’ rossiiskoi ekonomiki.” Second international special topic forum, Moscow, September 14, 2016.

38. E.V. Balatskii, “Mobilizatsionnaia ekonomika v usloviiakh sanktsii,” Razvitie i ekonomika, July 2015.

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