This article began as an exercise during the 9th Annual Whirling Disease Symposium, “Whirling Disease: Managing the Risk” held in Seattle, Washington, in 2003. The exercise was designed to address the needs of fishery managers to more accurately assess the various factors associated with the risks of the introduction and the establishment of the myxosporean parasite, Myxobolus cerebralis, and the development of whirling disease in salmonids. Here we introduce concepts used in risk assessment, review aspects of whirling disease relevant to risk assessment, present a working model for a whirling disease risk assessment, and work through examples of how this model might be used to estimate risks and identify actions to reduce these risks. While this approach was designed to address factors controlling the introduction and establishment of M. cerebralis and the development of whirling disease in salmonids, the concepts are highly relevant to the management of other infectious diseases of aquatic animals.
Acknowledgments
The 9th Annual Whirling Disease Symposium held in Seattle, WA in February 2003 was entitled “Whirling Disease: Managing the Risk” and contained sessions in which managers and experts in risk management and whirling disease research worked together to draft an initial outline of the pathways for the introduction and establishment of M. cerebralis that were used as the basis for this work. This effort would not have been possible without the support and encouragement of Dave Kumlien, Susan Higgins and Wanda McCarthy of the Whirling Disease Foundation. We would also like to thank Dr. J. C. Wilson who supplied information to illustrate the hatchery risk assessment example, Dr. H. M. Engelking for providing information for the Deschutes River risk assessment example, and Dr. David Vose for his constructive suggestions.
Notes
*Assumes disinfection and no transfer of water or material that might carry the parasite.