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Technical Paper

Role of future scenarios in understanding deep uncertainty in long-term air quality management

, , &
Pages 1327-1340 | Received 24 Mar 2015, Accepted 25 Jun 2015, Published online: 20 Oct 2015

Figures & data

Figure 1. Illustrative systems view of the underlying drivers of air quality.

Note: ** The thicker bold arrow represents the fact that policies can have system-wide impacts. For example, a fuel subsidy will ripple through an economic system as producers and consumers demand more fuel.
Figure 1. Illustrative systems view of the underlying drivers of air quality.

Figure 2. Highlights of the scenarios process for air quality management.

Figure 2. Highlights of the scenarios process for air quality management.

Figure 3. Four scenarios for air quality based on two key drivers.

Figure 3. Four scenarios for air quality based on two key drivers.

Figure 4. Primary energy mix.

Figure 4. Primary energy mix.

Figure 5. Electricity generation mix.

Figure 5. Electricity generation mix.

Figure 6. Light-duty vehicles mix.

Figure 6. Light-duty vehicles mix.

Figure 7. Illustrative result showing the NOx and SO2 emissions trajectories.

Figure 7. Illustrative result showing the NOx and SO2 emissions trajectories.
Supplemental material

Supplemental Material

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