The impact of climate change on tourism demand: evidence from Kazakhstan

ABSTRACT

This study takes the first step in analysing the impact of climate change on international tourist arrivals to Kazakhstan from 121 origin countries for the period 2000–2018. Despite this interest, little effort has been made to examine the relationship between time-variant climate variables and tourism demand. The study captures the destination choice of tourists based on temperature in the origin and destination countries over time by incorporating time-variant climate variables. The results reveal that the optimal temperature of international tourists visiting Kazakhstan is obtained at 7°C. Moreover, international tourists prefer to travel to Kazakhstan at a moderate temperature, that is neither too hot nor too cold.

KEYWORDS:

• Tourism demand
• GMM
• Kazakhstan
• Climate change

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Additional information

Notes on contributors

Khusen Ibragimov

Khusen Ibragimov is a PhD candidate at the University of Alicante, Spain. He is involved in many tourism research such as forecasting tourism demand, measuring determinants of tourism demand, the role of information technology in tourism development and measuring sustainable tourism. He graduated with a master’s degree in tourism and environmental economics from the University of Balearic Islands, Spain. He got a bachelor’s degree in tourism from Samarkand Institute of Economics and Services, Uzbekistan.

José Francisco Perles-Ribes

José Francisco Perles-Ribes has a PhD in Economics from the University of Alicante (Spain) in 2004. The author research is focused on tourism services, destination competitiveness as well as the innovation and new technologies applied to the tourism sector. In these fields, they have published several articles in prestigious international journals such as Tourism Management, Tourism Economics and Current Issues in Tourism as well as several monographs and book chapters.

Ana Belén Ramón-Rodríguez

Ana Belén Ramón-Rodríguez has a PhD in Economics from the University of Alicante (Spain) in 2000. She is currently a member of the International Economy Institute and a foundation member of the Tourism Research Institute, both at the University of Alicante. Her research activity focuses on the field of economic analysis of tourism and tourism competitiveness. Around these topics, she has published several papers on nationals and internationals scientific reviews.