Mainstream party agenda-responsiveness and the electoral success of right-wing populist parties in Europe

Figures & data

Figure 1. (a/b) Mainstream party agenda-responsiveness in Western Europe and CEE.

Figure 2. Mainstream party agenda-responsiveness over time.

Figure 3. (a/b) Mainstream party agenda-responsiveness in economic issues and socio-cultural issues.

Figure 4. Mainstream party agenda-responsiveness to the ‘losers of globalization’ and right-wing populist success.

Table 1. Regression of mainstream party agenda-responsiveness towards the ‘losers of globalization’ on right-wing populist success.

	(1)	(2)	(3)	(4)	(5)	(6)
VARIABLES	Vote share right-wing populist parties
Agenda-responsiveness ‘losers of globalization’	−0.097	−0.122	−0.071	−0.112	−0.121	−0.282
	(0.181)	(0.184)	(0.162)	(0.162)	(0.166)	(0.205)
Inflow of immigrants/ratio population		0.341*	0.521***	0.496**	0.438	0.355
		(0.193)	(0.180)	(0.189)	(0.280)	(0.244)
GDP p.c.			0.001	0.000	0.000	0.000
			(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)	(0.001)
Unemployment			0.904*	0.704	0.760	0.375
			(0.455)	(0.501)	(0.614)	(0.402)
Inflation			1.253*	1.498*	1.948*	0.469
			(0.715)	(0.847)	(1.015)	(0.486)
Electoral disproportionality				−0.353	−0.413	0.124
				(0.572)	(0.449)	(0.372)
Programmatic similarity				0.178	0.239	0.127
				(0.214)	(0.252)	(0.124)
ENP (votes)				0.449	0.480	0.339
				(0.886)	(0.945)	(0.735)
Age of democracy				0.318	0.541	0.271
				(0.340)	(0.538)	(0.484)
Ratio losers of globalization/population					40.576	77.675
					(199.899)	(133.777)
Mean age of populist parties					−0.194**	−0.035
					(0.073)	(0.076)
lagged DV						0.518***
						(0.039)
Constant	15.097	14.393	−22.140	−16.588	−28.560	−11.219
	(12.054)	(12.276)	(13.918)	(12.387)	(39.666)	(30.428)
Observations	95	95	95	95	82	66
R-squared	−0.004	0.001	0.078	0.080	0.081	0.593
Number of country	25	25	25	25	23	23

Country clustered standard errors in parentheses. Significant estimates are displayed in bold.

*** p < 0.01, ** p < 0.05, * p < 0.1.

Data availability statement

Data for this article can be accessed via Taylor and Francis.

These data were partially derived from the following resources available in the public domain:

Manifesto Project data: https://manifesto-project.wzb.eu/datasets.

Eurobarometer data: https://www.gesis.org/en/eurobarometer-data-service/search-data-access/data-access.