The contribution of Johan Cruyff to success and stadium attendance at Feyenoord

Figures & data

Table 1. Means of variables; home match averages by season.

	1982/83	1983/84	1984/85
a. Performance – all matches (102)
Johan Cruyff dummy	0.00	0.97	0.00
Home match	0.50	0.50	0.50
ELO-rating/100	17.19	17.00	17.20
Points	1.59	1.68	1.41
Goal difference	0.97	1.91	1.05
Win probability	0.65	0.74	0.62
Loss probability	0.06	0.06	0.21
b. Stadium attendance – home matches (48)
Johan Cruyff dummy	0.00	1.00	0.00
Attendance (1000)	20.97	23.63	14.72
Expected points	1.46	1.62	1.61
Surprise points	6.75	0.88	−3.81
Championship significance (%)	5.55	8.11	4.83
Sparta Rotterdam	0.06	0.06	0.06
PSV Eindhoven	0.06	0.06	0.06
Weekday	0.06	0.06	0.41

Note: For the match attendance analysis, the sold-out home matches against Ajax are excluded. Sources: Expected points: elofootball.com; match outcomes and stadium attendance: voetbal.com; championship significance: authors’ calculation.

Table 2. Parameter estimates performance and stadium attendance.

	(1)		(2)		(3)		(4)
a. Performance	Points		Goal difference		Win probability		Loss probability
Cruyff	0.18	(1.6)	0.80	(2.0) **	0.09	(1.0)	−0.09	(1.9) *
Home match	0.38	(3.2) ***	0.95	(2.8) ***	0.20	(2.3) **	−0.18	(3.1) ***
ELO-rating opponent/100	−0.20	(4.1) ***	−0.67	(3.7) ***	−0.14	(4.1) ***	0.07	(2.3) **
R-squared	0.239		0.285		0.187		0.181
b. Stadium attendance
Cruyff	6.30	(3.3) ***	6.90	(4.4) ***
Surprise points	0.37	(1.7) *	0.43	(2.1) **
Expected points	−0.12	(2.5) **	−0.10	(2.2) **
Sparta Rotterdam	9.56	(6.6) ***	10.60	(5.7) ***
PSV Eindhoven	12.43	(2.9) ***	13.08	(3.0) ***
Championship significance	0.23	(1.6)
Weekday	−0.19	(0.1)
R-squared	0.644		0.620

Seasons 1982/83 – 1984/85; panel a (b) based on seasons 102 (48) observations; constants not reported

Absolute $t$ statistics based on robust standard errors in parentheses; *** p$<$0.01, ** p$<$0.05, * p$<$0.01